Vtex Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.53
| VTEX Stock | USD 6.49 0.03 0.46% |
VTEX |
VTEX Target Price Odds to finish over 6.53
The tendency of VTEX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 6.53 or more in 90 days |
| 6.49 | 90 days | 6.53 | about 86.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VTEX to move over $ 6.53 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.18 (This VTEX probability density function shows the probability of VTEX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VTEX price to stay between its current price of $ 6.49 and $ 6.53 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.43 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VTEX has a beta of 0.75. This entails as returns on the market go up, VTEX average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VTEX will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VTEX has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VTEX Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VTEX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VTEX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VTEX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VTEX Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VTEX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VTEX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VTEX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VTEX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
VTEX Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VTEX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VTEX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VTEX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VTEX has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 201.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.79 M. | |
| VTEX has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: VTEX Stock Position Cut by Fourth Sail Capital LP - MarketBeat |
VTEX Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VTEX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VTEX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VTEX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 186.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 209.4 M |
VTEX Technical Analysis
VTEX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VTEX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VTEX. In general, you should focus on analyzing VTEX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VTEX Predictive Forecast Models
VTEX's time-series forecasting models is one of many VTEX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VTEX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VTEX
Checking the ongoing alerts about VTEX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VTEX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VTEX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VTEX has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 201.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.79 M. | |
| VTEX has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: VTEX Stock Position Cut by Fourth Sail Capital LP - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for VTEX Stock Analysis
When running VTEX's price analysis, check to measure VTEX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VTEX is operating at the current time. Most of VTEX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VTEX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VTEX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VTEX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.