Xoma Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.43

XOMA Stock  USD 29.35  0.14  0.47%   
XOMA Corp's future price is the expected price of XOMA Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of XOMA Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out XOMA Corp Backtesting, XOMA Corp Valuation, XOMA Corp Correlation, XOMA Corp Hype Analysis, XOMA Corp Volatility, XOMA Corp History as well as XOMA Corp Performance.
For information on how to trade XOMA Stock refer to our How to Trade XOMA Stock guide.
  
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XOMA Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 32.43

The tendency of XOMA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 32.43  or more in 90 days
 29.35 90 days 32.43 
about 5.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XOMA Corp to move over $ 32.43  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.29 (This XOMA Corp probability density function shows the probability of XOMA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XOMA Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 29.35  and $ 32.43  at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, XOMA Corp will likely underperform. Additionally XOMA Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   XOMA Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for XOMA Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XOMA Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.4629.3732.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.4639.4042.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.5428.4531.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.9129.7330.55
Details

XOMA Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XOMA Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XOMA Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XOMA Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XOMA Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.88
Ir
Information ratio 0

XOMA Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XOMA Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XOMA Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XOMA Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.87 M.
XOMA Corp currently holds about 83.7 M in cash with (18.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.31.
XOMA Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

XOMA Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XOMA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XOMA Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XOMA Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments153.5 M

XOMA Corp Technical Analysis

XOMA Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XOMA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XOMA Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing XOMA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

XOMA Corp Predictive Forecast Models

XOMA Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many XOMA Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XOMA Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about XOMA Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about XOMA Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XOMA Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XOMA Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.87 M.
XOMA Corp currently holds about 83.7 M in cash with (18.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.31.
XOMA Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
When determining whether XOMA Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of XOMA Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xoma Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xoma Corp Stock:
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XOMA Corp. If investors know XOMA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XOMA Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of XOMA Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XOMA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XOMA Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XOMA Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XOMA Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XOMA Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XOMA Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XOMA Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XOMA Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.