Advantage Oil Gas Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AAV Stock | CAD 9.67 0.04 0.41% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Advantage Oil Gas is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Advantage Oil's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Advantage Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Advantage and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Advantage Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Advantage |
Execute Advantage Oil Buy or Sell Advice
The Advantage recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Advantage Oil Gas. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Advantage Oil Gas or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Advantage Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Advantage Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Advantage Oil Gas has accumulated 353.98 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.08, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Advantage Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Advantage Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Advantage Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Advantage Oil Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Advantage to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Advantage Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Advantage Oil Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Advantage Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Advantage Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Advantage Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Advantage Oil Gas price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Advantage Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Advantage Oil.
| Mean Return | 0.21 | Value At Risk | -2.79 | Potential Upside | 5.26 | Standard Deviation | 2.19 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Advantage Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Advantage Oil Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Advantage Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Advantage Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Advantage stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Advantage Oil Volatility Alert
Advantage Oil Gas has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.75 and kurtosis of 0.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Advantage Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Advantage Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Advantage Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Advantage Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Advantage Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Advantage Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Advantage Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Advantage Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Advantage Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Advantage Oil to competition |
| Fundamentals | Advantage Oil | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0279 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0293 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.27 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 166.97 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.60 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 38.95 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.24 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.37 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.00 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 509.42 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 277.73 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 316.34 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 101.6 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 48.94 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.30 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 353.98 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.08 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.81 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.69 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 323.35 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.54 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.27 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.24 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 13.73 | |
| Number Of Employees | 86 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.32 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.61 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.3 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (582.98 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 24.02 M | 1.48 B |
Advantage Oil Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Advantage . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Advantage Oil Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Advantage Oil Gas? Buying financial instruments such as Advantage Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Advantage Stock
Advantage Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Advantage Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Advantage with respect to the benefits of owning Advantage Oil security.