Archer Aviation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ACHR Stock | USD 9.27 0.23 2.54% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Archer Aviation is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Archer Aviation within the specified time frame.
Check out Archer Aviation Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Archer Stock, please use our How to Invest in Archer Aviation guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Archer and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Archer Aviation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
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Execute Archer Aviation Buy or Sell Advice
The Archer recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Archer Aviation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Archer Aviation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Archer Aviation's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Relatively risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Archer Aviation Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Archer Aviation is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Archer Aviation appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (457.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Archer Aviation currently holds about 600.6 M in cash with (271.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.47. | |
| Archer Aviation has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: A Revolution in the Skies Why ACHR Shares Could Soar - Jomfruland.net |
Archer Aviation Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Archer Aviation's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Archer Aviation's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Archer Aviation daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Archer Aviation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Archer Aviation returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Archer Aviation.
| Mean Return | 2.03 | Value At Risk | -8.25 | Potential Upside | 17.02 | Standard Deviation | 8.56 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Archer Aviation historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Archer Stock Institutional Investors
The Archer Aviation's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Archer Aviation's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Alta Fundamental Advisers Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.2 M | Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Ark Investment Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 23.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 20.4 M |
Archer Aviation Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (1.9M) | (3.5M) | (464.3M) | 456.6M | 525.1M | 551.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 26.5M | 710.3M | (674.6M) | 399.2M | 459.1M | 482.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (24.7M) | (111.9M) | (207.3M) | (315.9M) | (284.3M) | (270.1M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 300K | 1.9M | (9.5M) | 121.4M | 139.6M | 146.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.9M | 3.5M | 6.9M | 44.3M | 50.9M | 53.5M | |
| Net Income | (24.8M) | (347.8M) | (317.3M) | (457.9M) | (412.1M) | (391.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 36.6M | 746.9M | 72.3M | 471.5M | 542.2M | 294.2M |
Archer Aviation Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Archer Aviation or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Archer Aviation's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Archer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Archer Aviation Volatility Alert
Archer Aviation is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Archer Aviation's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Archer Aviation's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Archer Aviation Implied Volatility
Archer Aviation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Archer Aviation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Archer Aviation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Archer Aviation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Archer Aviation's options are near their expiration.
Archer Aviation Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Archer Aviation's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Archer Aviation's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Archer Aviation and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Archer Aviation or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Archer Aviation's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Archer Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Archer Aviation to competition |
| Fundamentals | Archer Aviation | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.08 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.52 | -0.14 |
| Current Valuation | 4.11 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 501.64 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 15.98 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 29.63 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 57.74 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.44 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 9.70 X | 9.51 X |
| EBITDA | (451.6 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (457.9 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 600.6 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.47 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 23.2 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 14.05 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.10 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (271.6 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.29 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.31) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 11.33 | |
| Number Of Employees | 578 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.3 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.65 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 554.3 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.15 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 366.2 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 554.3 M |
Note: Disposition of 50000 shares by Thomas Muniz of Archer Aviation at 12.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Archer Aviation Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Archer . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 825571.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4792 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.21 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.23 |
About Archer Aviation Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Archer Aviation? Buying financial instruments such as Archer Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Technology Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Archer Stock Analysis
When running Archer Aviation's price analysis, check to measure Archer Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.