Archer Aviation Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

ACHR Stock  USD 7.05  0.14  1.95%   
Archer Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Archer Aviation's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Archer Aviation's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Archer Aviation fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Archer Aviation's share price is approaching 38. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Archer Aviation, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 38

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Archer Aviation's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Archer Aviation and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Archer Aviation's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Archer Aviation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Archer Aviation's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.20)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.83)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.73)
Wall Street Target Price
11.6111
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.20)
Using Archer Aviation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Archer Aviation from the perspective of Archer Aviation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Archer Aviation using Archer Aviation's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Archer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Archer Aviation's stock price.

Archer Aviation Short Interest

An investor who is long Archer Aviation may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Archer Aviation and may potentially protect profits, hedge Archer Aviation with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
9.5768
Short Percent
0.1329
Short Ratio
2.11
Shares Short Prior Month
90.5 M
50 Day MA
8.12

Archer Relative Strength Index

Archer Aviation Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Archer Aviation's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Archer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Archer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Archer Aviation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Archer Aviation's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Archer Aviation.

Archer Aviation Implied Volatility

    
  1.12  
Archer Aviation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Archer Aviation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Archer Aviation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Archer Aviation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Archer Aviation's options are near their expiration.

Archer Aviation after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Archer Aviation to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Archer Stock, please use our How to Invest in Archer Aviation guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Archer contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Archer Aviation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.07% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Archer Aviation trading at USD 7.05, that is roughly USD 0.004935 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Archer Aviation's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Archer Aviation options at the current volatility level of 1.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Archer Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Archer Aviation's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Archer Aviation's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Archer Aviation stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Archer Aviation's open interest, investors have to compare it to Archer Aviation's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Archer Aviation is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Archer. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Archer Aviation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Archer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Archer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Archer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Archer Aviation has current Accumulation Distribution of 1.5 M. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Archer Aviation is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Archer Aviation to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Archer Aviation trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Archer Aviation VolatilityBacktest Archer AviationInformation Ratio  

Archer Aviation Trading Date Momentum

On February 02 2026 Archer Aviation was traded for  7.05  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 7.27  and the lowest listed price was  6.97 . The trading volume for the day was 36.4 M. The trading history from February 2, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 2.13% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Archer Aviation to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Archer Aviation

For every potential investor in Archer, whether a beginner or expert, Archer Aviation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Archer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Archer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Archer Aviation's price trends.

Archer Aviation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Archer Aviation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Archer Aviation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Archer Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Archer Aviation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Archer Aviation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Archer Aviation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Archer Aviation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Archer Aviation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Archer Aviation Risk Indicators

The analysis of Archer Aviation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Archer Aviation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting archer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Archer Aviation

The number of cover stories for Archer Aviation depends on current market conditions and Archer Aviation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Archer Aviation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Archer Aviation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Archer Aviation Short Properties

Archer Aviation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Archer Aviation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Archer Aviation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Archer Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archer Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding376.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments834.5 M

Additional Tools for Archer Stock Analysis

When running Archer Aviation's price analysis, check to measure Archer Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.