Is AerCap Holdings Stock a Good Investment?
AerCap Holdings Investment Advice | AER |
- Examine AerCap Holdings' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research AerCap Holdings' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help AerCap Holdings navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Trading Companies & Distributors space and any emerging trends that could impact AerCap Holdings' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare AerCap Holdings' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how AerCap Holdings is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if AerCap Holdings pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about AerCap Holdings' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in AerCap Holdings NV stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if AerCap Holdings NV is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine AerCap Holdings Stock
Researching AerCap Holdings' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AerCap Holdings NV has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.28. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024.
To determine if AerCap Holdings is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding AerCap Holdings' research are outlined below:
| AerCap Holdings NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AerCap Holdings NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 5th of December 2024 AerCap Holdings paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is AerCap Holdings N.V. Top Stock Pick in Billionaire George Soros Portfolio |
AerCap Holdings Quarterly Cost Of Revenue |
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AerCap Holdings uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in AerCap Holdings NV. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to AerCap Holdings' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 23rd of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 7th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 23rd of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact AerCap Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises AerCap Holdings' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2009-05-07 | 2009-03-31 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.04 | 12 | ||
2013-05-07 | 2013-03-31 | 0.54 | 0.6 | 0.06 | 11 | ||
2011-11-08 | 2011-09-30 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.06 | 13 | ||
2011-08-05 | 2011-06-30 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.06 | 13 | ||
2011-02-24 | 2010-12-31 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.06 | 12 | ||
2011-05-05 | 2011-03-31 | 0.43 | 0.5 | 0.07 | 16 | ||
2010-05-07 | 2010-03-31 | 0.48 | 0.4 | -0.08 | 16 | ||
2012-02-22 | 2011-12-31 | 0.48 | 0.57 | 0.09 | 18 |
AerCap Holdings Target Price Consensus
AerCap target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. AerCap Holdings' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 9 | Strong Buy |
Most AerCap analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand AerCap stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of AerCap Holdings NV, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationAerCap Holdings Target Price Projection
AerCap Holdings' current and average target prices are 95.70 and 113.11, respectively. The current price of AerCap Holdings is the price at which AerCap Holdings NV is currently trading. On the other hand, AerCap Holdings' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
AerCap Holdings Market Quote on 18th of January 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On AerCap Holdings Target Price
AerCap Holdings Analyst Ratings
AerCap Holdings' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about AerCap Holdings stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of AerCap Holdings' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. AerCap Holdings' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know AerCap Holdings' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AerCap Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AerCap Holdings NV backward and forwards among themselves. AerCap Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AerCap Holdings' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | 59 North Capital Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 3.2 M | Lyrical Asset Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M | Cooke & Bieler Lp | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M | Ninety One Uk Limited | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 M | Redwood Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2124-09-30 | 2.1 M | Lord, Abbett & Co Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Eagle Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 11.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 10.9 M |
AerCap Holdings' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 18.36 B.Market Cap |
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AerCap Holdings' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.07 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | 0.18 |
Determining AerCap Holdings' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if AerCap Holdings is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures AerCap Holdings' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of AerCap Holdings' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate AerCap Holdings' management efficiency
AerCap Holdings NV has Return on Asset of 0.0348 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0348 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.153 %, implying that it generated $0.153 on every 100 dollars invested. AerCap Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well AerCap Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, AerCap Holdings' Return On Tangible Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/18/2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.04, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.05. At this time, AerCap Holdings' Fixed Asset Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/18/2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.04, while Total Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 2.4 B.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 66.59 | 40.64 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 70.25 | 48.07 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 15.47 | 12.64 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.12 | 1.16 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 15.47 | 12.64 | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.12 | 1.16 | |
| Enterprise Value | 55.1 B | 57.8 B |
AerCap Holdings NV benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Basic technical analysis of AerCap Stock
As of the 18th of January 2025, AerCap Holdings shows the Mean Deviation of 0.9568, risk adjusted performance of 0.0271, and Downside Deviation of 1.26. AerCap Holdings NV technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm AerCap Holdings NV treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if AerCap Holdings NV is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 95.7 per share. Given that AerCap Holdings has jensen alpha of 0.0276, we suggest you to validate AerCap Holdings NV's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.AerCap Holdings' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific AerCap Holdings insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on AerCap Holdings' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases AerCap Holdings insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Chapman James N over three months ago Disposition of 4393 shares by Chapman James N of AerCap Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Aengus Kelly over three months ago Disposition of 1983143 shares by Aengus Kelly of AerCap Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Paul Dacier over three months ago Acquisition by Paul Dacier of 3255 shares of AerCap Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Robert Warden over three months ago Acquisition by Robert Warden of 2497 shares of AerCap Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Michael Walsh over six months ago Acquisition by Michael Walsh of 500 shares of AerCap Holdings at 48.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Al Noaimi Salem Rashed Abdulla Ali over six months ago Acquisition by Al Noaimi Salem Rashed Abdulla Ali of 797 shares of AerCap Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Aengus Kelly over six months ago Acquisition by Aengus Kelly of 1307766 shares of AerCap Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 |
AerCap Holdings' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
AerCap Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. AerCap Holdings NV uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most AerCap bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when AerCap Holdings NV has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| International Game Technology Corp BondUS460599AD57 | View | |
| AerCap Global Aviation Corp BondUS00773HAA59 | View |
Understand AerCap Holdings' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing AerCap Holdings' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0271 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0724 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9568 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3541.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0231 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0276 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0315 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0235 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0624 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.02) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1199 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8566 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0271 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0724 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9568 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3541.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0231 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0276 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0315 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0235 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0624 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.23) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.02) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1199 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.8566 |
Consider AerCap Holdings' intraday indicators
AerCap Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of AerCap Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10721.1 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.07) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 96.23 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 96.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.58) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.11) |
AerCap Holdings Corporate Filings
6K | 14th of January 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
| 8th of January 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
| 6th of January 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
13A | 14th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
AerCap Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about AerCap Holdings that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through AerCap media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via AerCap internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of AerCap data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of AerCap Holdings news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of AerCap Holdings relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to AerCap Holdings' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive AerCap Holdings alpha.
AerCap Holdings Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards AerCap Holdings can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
AerCap Holdings NV Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to AerCap Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AerCap. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AerCap can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AerCap Holdings NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
AerCap Holdings' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for AerCap Holdings and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average AerCap Holdings news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on AerCap Holdings.
AerCap Holdings Maximum Pain Price Across April 17th 2025 Option Contracts
AerCap Holdings' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of AerCap Holdings close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of AerCap Holdings' options.
AerCap Holdings Corporate Directors
| Robert Warden | Non-Executive Director | Profile | |
| Julian Branch | Non-Executive Independent Director | Profile | |
| James Lawrence | Non-Executive Independent Director | Profile | |
| Michael Walsh | Non-Executive Independent Director | Profile |
Already Invested in AerCap Holdings NV?
The danger of trading AerCap Holdings NV is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of AerCap Holdings is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than AerCap Holdings. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile AerCap Holdings NV is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
Additional Tools for AerCap Stock Analysis
When running AerCap Holdings' price analysis, check to measure AerCap Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AerCap Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of AerCap Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AerCap Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AerCap Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AerCap Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.