Aar Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AIR Stock | USD 68.84 0.56 0.82% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding AAR Corp is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell AAR Corp within the specified time frame.
Check out AAR Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in AAR Stock, please use our How to Invest in AAR Corp guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AAR and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. AAR Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
AAR |
Execute AAR Corp Buy or Sell Advice
The AAR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AAR Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AAR Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AAR Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
AAR Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AAR Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why AAR is a Strong Growth Stock - Yahoo Finance |
AAR Corp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AAR Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AAR Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AAR Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AAR Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AAR Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AAR Corp.
| Mean Return | 0.19 | Value At Risk | -3.07 | Potential Upside | 2.85 | Standard Deviation | 2.40 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AAR Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AAR Stock Institutional Investors
The AAR Corp's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase AAR Corp's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 733 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 518.3 K | Fred Alger Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 508.2 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 500.2 K | Emerald Advisers, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 491.4 K | Rubric Capital Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 471.7 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-09-30 | 465 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 429 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 405 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.8 M |
AAR Corp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 74.9M | (10.4M) | (23.6M) | (90.4M) | (81.4M) | (77.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | (364.5M) | (1.3M) | 22.9M | 14.3M | 12.9M | 13.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 93.9M | 57.9M | (6.2M) | 13.9M | 16.0M | 11.6M | |
| Depreciation | 36.3M | 33.1M | 27.9M | 41.2M | 47.4M | 40.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 28.3M | (16.1M) | 5.3M | 27.4M | 31.5M | 33.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 10.7M | 100K | 16.8M | 189.7M | 218.2M | 229.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 11.3M | 17.3M | 29.5M | 29.7M | 34.2M | 29.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 60.2M | 58.9M | 81.8M | 96.1M | 110.5M | 62.1M | |
| Investments | (500K) | (16.5M) | (138M) | (758.5M) | (682.7M) | (648.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | 14.8M | (4.5M) | (49M) | (18.1M) | (16.3M) | (15.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 459.5M | (470M) | (34.2M) | 172M | 197.8M | 207.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.9M | 64.6M | 11M | 18.3M | 21.0M | 25.5M |
AAR Corp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AAR Corp or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AAR Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AAR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
AAR Corp Volatility Alert
AAR Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.41 and kurtosis of 5.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AAR Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AAR Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AAR Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AAR Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AAR Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AAR Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AAR Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AAR Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AAR Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AAR Corp to competition |
| Fundamentals | AAR Corp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0557 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0437 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.46 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 35.91 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.64 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.32 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 617.47 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 18.70 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.08 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.01 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.32 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 458.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 142.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 46.3 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 68.4 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.28 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.08 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.16 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.89 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 33.94 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 43.6 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.19 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.28 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.41 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 81.4 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.57 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.45 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.77 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 956.9 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 922.7 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 11740 shares by Sean Gillen of AAR Corp at 64.6 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AAR Corp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AAR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2841.27 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4786 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 68.59 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 68.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.54 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.56 |
About AAR Corp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AAR Corp? Buying financial instruments such as AAR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Companies involved in delivering services to business or consumers across different industries and sectors. The Services theme has 30 constituents at this time.
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Additional Tools for AAR Stock Analysis
When running AAR Corp's price analysis, check to measure AAR Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AAR Corp is operating at the current time. Most of AAR Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AAR Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AAR Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AAR Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.