Aar Corp Stock Technical Analysis
| AIR Stock | USD 112.98 0.24 0.21% |
As of the 16th of February 2026, AAR Corp shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 424.06, semi deviation of 1.31, and Mean Deviation of 1.66. AAR Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the entity's future prices. Please confirm AAR Corp standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if AAR Corp is priced adequately, providing market reflects its regular price of 112.98 per share. Given that AAR Corp has jensen alpha of 0.3761, we suggest you to validate AAR Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.
AAR Corp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as AAR, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AARAAR Corp's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.AAR Corp Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 110.67 | Strong Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most AAR analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AAR stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AAR Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AAR conference calls.
Can Aerospace & Defense industry sustain growth momentum? Does AAR have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AAR Corp. If investors know AAR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating AAR Corp demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.92 | Earnings Share 2.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.159 | Return On Assets |
AAR Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on AAR's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate AAR Corp's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since AAR Corp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that AAR Corp's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AAR Corp represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, AAR Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
AAR Corp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AAR Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AAR Corp.
| 11/18/2025 |
| 02/16/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AAR Corp on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AAR Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in AAR Corp over 90 days. AAR Corp is related to or competes with Astronics, Airbus Group, HEICO, GrabAGun Digital, ParaZero Technologies, Sturm Ruger, and Thales SA. AAR Corp. provides products and services to commercial aviation, government, and defense markets worldwide More
AAR Corp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AAR Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AAR Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2017 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.2 |
AAR Corp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AAR Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AAR Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AAR Corp historical prices to predict the future AAR Corp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1963 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3761 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3209 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2611 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2922 |
AAR Corp February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1963 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3022 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 424.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.2 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2017 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3761 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3209 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2611 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2922 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.09) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3422 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.15) |
AAR Corp Backtested Returns
AAR Corp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. AAR Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.33, which signifies that the company had a 0.33 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By examining AAR Corp's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.63% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of AAR Corp's Mean Deviation of 1.66, semi deviation of 1.31, and Coefficient Of Variation of 424.06 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, AAR Corp holds a performance score of 25. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.62, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AAR Corp will likely underperform. Please check AAR Corp's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether AAR Corp's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.78 |
Good predictability
AAR Corp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AAR Corp time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AAR Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current AAR Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 62.81 |
AAR Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
AAR Corp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of AAR Corp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About AAR Corp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of AAR Corp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AAR Corp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on AAR Corp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding AAR Corp. By analyzing AAR Corp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AAR Corp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to AAR Corp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 2.08 | 1.62 | Dividend Yield | 7.7E-5 | 7.3E-5 |
AAR Corp February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of AAR help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AAR from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze AAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1963 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3022 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 424.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.2 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2017 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3761 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3209 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2611 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2922 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.09) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3422 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.15) |
AAR Corp February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AAR stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.07) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 114.20 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 113.79 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.34) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.44 |
Additional Tools for AAR Stock Analysis
When running AAR Corp's price analysis, check to measure AAR Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AAR Corp is operating at the current time. Most of AAR Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AAR Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AAR Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AAR Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.