Alarum Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALAR Stock   13.63  1.57  10.33%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Alarum Technologies is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alarum Technologies given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alarum Technologies. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alarum Technologies, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Alarum Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Alarum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alarum Technologies guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alarum and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alarum Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Alarum Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

The Alarum recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alarum Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alarum Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alarum Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alarum TechnologiesBuy Alarum Technologies
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Alarum Technologies has a Mean Deviation of 6.2, Standard Deviation of 9.0 and Variance of 80.99
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Alarum Technologies and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Alarum Technologies is not overpriced, please confirm all Alarum Technologies fundamentals, including its gross profit, target price, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and book value per share . Given that Alarum Technologies has a shares owned by institutions of 13.68 %, we suggest you to validate Alarum Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alarum Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alarum Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.13 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: A Glimpse of Alarum Technologiess Earnings Potential - Benzinga

Alarum Technologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alarum Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alarum Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alarum Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alarum Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alarum Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alarum Technologies.
Mean Return
-0.08
Value At Risk
-9.94
Potential Upside
14.37
Standard Deviation
9.00
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alarum Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alarum Technologies Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash624K6.7M(7.2M)(538K)7.6M8.0M
Free Cash Flow(6.8M)(6.8M)(9.5M)(8.1M)4.7M4.9M
Depreciation1.1M1.4M1.8M2.0M3.8M4.0M
Other Non Cash Items2.8M(2.9M)(1.7M)(438K)16.6M17.5M
Capital Expenditures46K141K286K55K63.3K60.1K
Net Income(13.0M)(7.8M)(13.1M)(13.2M)(5.6M)(5.9M)
End Period Cash Flow4.3M11.0M3.8M3.3M10.9M11.4M
Change To Inventory221K(480K)1.7M(492K)(565.8K)(537.5K)

Alarum Technologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alarum Technologies or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alarum Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alarum stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.28
σ
Overall volatility
8.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Alarum Technologies Volatility Alert

Alarum Technologies is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alarum Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alarum Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alarum Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alarum Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alarum Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alarum Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alarum Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alarum Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alarum Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alarum Technologies to competition
FundamentalsAlarum TechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.29-0.31
Return On Asset0.24-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.35 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation69.27 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding6.87 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions13.68 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted390.24 K4.71 M
Price To Book5.11 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.36 X11.42 X
Revenue26.52 M9.43 B
Gross Profit10.13 M27.38 B
EBITDA(1.64 M)3.9 B
Net Income(5.61 M)570.98 M
Total Debt1.99 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.34 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.94 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.30 X3.12 X
Target Price29.33
Number Of Employees5218.84 K
Beta0.041-0.15
Market Capitalization102.35 M19.03 B
Total Asset20.07 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(102.33 M)9.33 B
Working Capital7.71 M1.48 B
Net Asset20.07 M

Alarum Technologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alarum . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alarum Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alarum Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Alarum Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Alarum Stock Analysis

When running Alarum Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Alarum Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alarum Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Alarum Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alarum Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alarum Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alarum Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.