Alarum Technologies Stock Performance

ALAR Stock

8.29 0.30 3.75%

Alarum Technologies has performed against its sector and the broad market over time. Based on the 3 months horizon, Alarum Technologies shows an expected return of 0.29%.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0High

5 · Contained

Over the last 90 days, Alarum Technologies ranks in the bottom 95% of global equities and portfolios on a risk-adjusted return basis. A lower ranking does not preclude recovery, but it does signal that recent efficiency has lagged peers. Alarum Technologies has delivered strong risk-adjusted returns over recent months, suggesting the current trend may have further room to run. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 724.00 in Alarum Technologies on February 8, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 105.00 , a return of 14.5% over 90 days. Alarum Technologies is currently generating a 0.2949% daily expected return and carries 4.09% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Alarum Technologies exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 64% of comparable stocks, and ALAR has trailed 95% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.

Expected Return

Risk

This relative risk-return summary evaluates how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given a 90-day horizon, ALAR generates 4.43 times more return on investment than the market. However, ALAR is 4.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.07% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Some market participants monitor whether Alarum Stock is trading materially away from its historical valuation range. Closed-end funds and specialized market segments can remain disconnected from intrinsic value estimates for extended periods.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds moving above the current price in 90 days
8.29	90 days	8.29	near 1 %

Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alarum Technologies moving above the current price in 90 days from now are near 1 %. Over this horizon, the return distribution for this stock has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for Alarum Stock over the next 90 days).

Given a 90-day horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This suggests Alarum Technologies market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alarum Technologies tends to follow. Additionally, Alarum Technologies has an alpha of 0.3138, implying that it can generate a 0.3138 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).

Alarum Technologies Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for Alarum Technologies

Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the stock market and estimating future values of Alarum Technologies. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.

Experienced market participants anticipate that Alarum Technologies' price will even out over time. Periods when Alarum Technologies' deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.

Sentiment

Range

Low	Sentiment	High
4.20	8.29	12.38

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Intrinsic	High
3.53	7.62	11.71

Details

Competitive analysis for Alarum Technologies compares its financial performance and valuation metrics against sector peers. Cross-sectional comparison separates idiosyncratic performance from sector-level dynamics.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market, and Alarum Technologies is no exception. Alarum Technologies has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.

α	Alpha over Dow Jones	0.31	Details
β	Beta against Dow Jones	1.07	Details
σ	Overall volatility	0.56	Details
Ir	Information ratio	0.08	Details

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to Alarum Technologies flag material changes in stock conditions early. Alarum Technologies notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions.

	Alarum Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
	Alarum Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations
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Price Density Drivers

Price dynamics for Alarum Stock are shaped by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. Key indicators for Alarum Technologies capture the primary forces influencing short-term price behavior.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	7.44 million
	Cash And Short Term Investments	12.27 million

Alarum Technologies Fundamentals Growth

Alarum Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of Alarum Technologies's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape Alarum Stock market performance.

	Current Valuation	41.61 M
	Shares Outstanding	7.34 M
	Earnings Per Share	0.10 X

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Alarum Technologies measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Maximum drawdown depth defines the worst observed loss from peak, framing downside exposure. Alarum Technologies shows ROE of 3.3%, ROA of 0.32% (TTM).

Alarum Technologies data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board