Alarum Technologies Stock Market Value
| ALAR Stock | 7.47 0.22 3.03% |
| Symbol | Alarum |
Can Application Software industry sustain growth momentum? Does Alarum have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alarum Technologies. If investors know Alarum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Alarum Technologies demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
The market value of Alarum Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alarum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alarum Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alarum Technologies' true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Alarum Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alarum Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alarum Technologies' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alarum Technologies represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alarum Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Alarum Technologies 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alarum Technologies' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alarum Technologies.
| 11/17/2025 |
| 02/15/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alarum Technologies on November 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alarum Technologies or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alarum Technologies over 90 days. Alarum Technologies is related to or competes with Helport AI, ZenaTech, VirnetX Holding, MicroAlgo, WM Technology, Nerdy, and Roadzen. More
Alarum Technologies Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alarum Technologies' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alarum Technologies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.82 |
Alarum Technologies Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alarum Technologies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alarum Technologies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alarum Technologies historical prices to predict the future Alarum Technologies' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.68) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9046 |
Alarum Technologies February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9146 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.08 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (653.75) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.67 | |||
| Variance | 21.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.68) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9046 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.25 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.82 | |||
| Skewness | (0.72) | |||
| Kurtosis | 7.02 |
Alarum Technologies Backtested Returns
Alarum Technologies secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.15, which signifies that the company had a -0.15 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alarum Technologies exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alarum Technologies' risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Mean Deviation of 3.08 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.8, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Alarum Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Alarum Technologies is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Alarum Technologies has a negative expected return of -0.72%. Please make sure to confirm Alarum Technologies' standard deviation, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Alarum Technologies performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.78 |
Good predictability
Alarum Technologies has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alarum Technologies time series from 17th of November 2025 to 1st of January 2026 and 1st of January 2026 to 15th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alarum Technologies price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Alarum Technologies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.73 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.08 |
Pair Trading with Alarum Technologies
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alarum Technologies position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alarum Technologies will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Alarum Stock
| 0.7 | ZM | Zoom Video Communications | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | NN | Nextnav Acquisition Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | RNI | OXFORD METRICS LS | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | ZD | Ziff Davis Earnings Call Next Week | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | JG | Aurora Mobile | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alarum Technologies could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alarum Technologies when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alarum Technologies - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alarum Technologies to buy it.
The correlation of Alarum Technologies is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alarum Technologies moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alarum Technologies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alarum Technologies can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Alarum Stock Analysis
When running Alarum Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Alarum Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alarum Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Alarum Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alarum Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alarum Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alarum Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.