Ambarella Stock Market Outlook
| AMBA Stock | USD 66.26 1.01 1.55% |
About 61% of all Ambarella's investors are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Ambarella stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Ambarella's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Ambarella stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 61
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Ambarella's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Ambarella.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentNeutral | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Ambarella is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Ambarella buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMBA positions.
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Execute Ambarella Advice
The Ambarella recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ambarella. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ambarella or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ambarella's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Ambarella has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.51), Total Risk Alpha of (0.75) and Treynor Ratio of (0.15)Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Ambarella that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Ambarella. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Ambarella is not overpriced, please confirm all Ambarella fundamentals, including its profit margin, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and number of shares shorted . Given that Ambarella has a price to earning of 202.70 X, we suggest you to validate Ambarella market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Ambarella Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ambarella generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ambarella has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 284.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (117.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 222.73 M. | |
| Ambarella has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Gemspring Capital Combines FORM and Trax Retails Image Recognition to Create Global Retail Execution Platform |
Ambarella Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ambarella's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ambarella's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ambarella daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ambarella price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ambarella returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Ambarella.
| Mean Return | -0.32 | Value At Risk | -4.88 | Potential Upside | 5.30 | Standard Deviation | 4.11 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ambarella historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ambarella Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Oberweis Asset Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 573.4 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 567.9 K | Squarepoint Ops Llc | 2025-06-30 | 557.2 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 516.2 K | Nuveen, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 504.7 K | Stephens Inv Mgmt Group Llc | 2025-06-30 | 493.9 K | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 481.2 K | Balyasny Asset Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 459.6 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 447.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 5.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 3.9 M |
Ambarella Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (18.9M) | 4.7M | 11.4M | (5.2M) | (6.0M) | (5.7M) | |
| Change In Cash | (70.2M) | (57.5M) | 31.4M | (292K) | (262.8K) | (249.7K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 29.1M | 29.0M | 7.0M | 23.5M | 27.0M | 42.4M | |
| Depreciation | 14.0M | 19.9M | 24.8M | 26.1M | 30.0M | 31.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 525K | (1.4M) | (33K) | (80K) | (72K) | (68.4K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 9.7M | 15.1M | 12.0M | 10.4M | 11.9M | 12.5M | |
| Net Income | (26.4M) | (65.4M) | (169.4M) | (117.1M) | (105.4M) | (100.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 171.1M | 113.5M | 144.9M | 144.6M | 166.3M | 187.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 67.0M | 70.4M | 82.9M | 105.8M | 121.7M | 127.7M | |
| Investments | 197.2M | (107.3M) | 7.8M | (40.5M) | (46.6M) | (44.3M) |
Ambarella Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ambarella or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ambarella's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ambarella stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Ambarella Volatility Alert
Ambarella exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.58 and kurtosis of 5.96. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ambarella's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ambarella's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ambarella Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ambarella's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ambarella's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ambarella and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ambarella or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ambarella's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ambarella by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ambarella to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ambarella | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0786 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.21) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.15) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.53 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 43.05 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.75 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 88.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.33 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 202.70 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.76 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 7.63 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 284.87 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 222.73 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (100.53 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (117.13 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 197.91 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.15 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.26 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.65 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.71 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 33.84 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.38 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.88) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 4.97 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 97.45 | |
| Number Of Employees | 941 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.94 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.85 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 688.97 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (252.06 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 199.56 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 500 shares by Paisley Christopher B of Ambarella at 72.18 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ambarella Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ambarella . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 26467.82 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3544 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 66.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 66.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.11) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.01 |
About Ambarella Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ambarella? Buying financial instruments such as Ambarella Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ambarella in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Gold and Gold Mining Thematic Idea Now
Gold and Gold Mining
Large and mid-size companies, ETFs and funds that are either investing, exploring or producing, gold or indirectly involved in trading or making gold products. The Gold and Gold Mining theme has 100 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Gold and Gold Mining Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Ambarella Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Ambarella Stock refer to our How to Trade Ambarella Stock guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambarella. If investors know Ambarella will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Ambarella assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (1.88) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.312 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Ambarella's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Ambarella's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Ambarella's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Ambarella's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Ambarella's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ambarella represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Ambarella's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.