Ambarella Stock Technical Analysis

AMBA Stock  USD 60.75  0.52  0.86%   
As of the 5th of February, Ambarella shows the mean deviation of 2.76, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07). Ambarella technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Ambarella Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Ambarella, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AmbarellaAmbarella's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Ambarella Analyst Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
97.45Buy15Odds
Ambarella current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ambarella analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ambarella stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ambarella, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ambarella conference calls.
Ambarella Analyst Advice Details
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambarella. If investors know Ambarella will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Ambarella assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(1.90)
Revenue Per Share
8.824
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.312
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.14)
Ambarella's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Ambarella's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Ambarella's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Ambarella's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Ambarella's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ambarella represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Ambarella's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ambarella 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ambarella's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ambarella.
0.00
11/07/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/05/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ambarella on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ambarella or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ambarella over 90 days. Ambarella is related to or competes with IPG Photonics, Silicon Laboratories, Silicon Motion, Synaptics Incorporated, Global Business, NIQ Global, and Navitas Semiconductor. Ambarella, Inc. develops semiconductor solutions for video that enable high-definition and ultra HD compression, image p... More

Ambarella Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ambarella's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ambarella upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ambarella Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ambarella's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ambarella's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ambarella historical prices to predict the future Ambarella's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.7560.8464.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.6876.9881.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.5262.6166.69
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
88.6897.45108.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ambarella. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ambarella's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ambarella's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ambarella.

Ambarella February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Ambarella Backtested Returns

Ambarella secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the company had a -0.14 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Ambarella exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ambarella's risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Mean Deviation of 2.76 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.16, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ambarella will likely underperform. At this point, Ambarella has a negative expected return of -0.56%. Please make sure to confirm Ambarella's total risk alpha, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown , to decide if Ambarella performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.69  

Good predictability

Ambarella has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ambarella time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ambarella price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Ambarella price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance19.27
Ambarella technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ambarella technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ambarella trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Ambarella Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Ambarella volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Ambarella Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ambarella on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ambarella based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Ambarella price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ambarella. By analyzing Ambarella's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ambarella's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ambarella specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover3.155.175.946.0
Days Of Inventory On Hand118.24111.66100.569.22

Ambarella February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Ambarella help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ambarella from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Ambarella charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Ambarella February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ambarella stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Ambarella Stock analysis

When running Ambarella's price analysis, check to measure Ambarella's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambarella is operating at the current time. Most of Ambarella's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambarella's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambarella's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambarella to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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