Auburn National Bancorporation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AUBN Stock | USD 22.91 0.44 1.88% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Auburn National Bancorporation is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Auburn National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Auburn National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Auburn and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Auburn National Bancorporation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Auburn |
Execute Auburn National Buy or Sell Advice
The Auburn recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Auburn National Bancorporation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Auburn National Bancorporation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Auburn National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Auburn National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Auburn National Banc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Auburn National declares 0.27 dividend |
Auburn National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Auburn National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Auburn National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Auburn National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Auburn National Bancorporation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Auburn National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Auburn National.
| Mean Return | 0.35 | Value At Risk | -2.68 | Potential Upside | 3.89 | Standard Deviation | 2.53 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Auburn National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Auburn Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Auburn National, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Auburn National Bancorporation back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 10.1 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 7.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 6 K | Tower Research Capital Llc | 2024-06-30 | 842 | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-06-30 | 258 | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 18.0 | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 14.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Fourthstone Llc | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 39.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 32.7 K |
Auburn National Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 27.4M | 20.1M | 43.7M | (129.0M) | 44.1M | 46.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 9.0M | 1.4M | (7.9M) | 3.9M | 11.5M | 5.8M | |
| Depreciation | 1.2M | 1.7M | 1.2M | 1.5M | 1.7M | 1.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.6M) | 78K | 3.0M | 1.9M | 8.3M | 8.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.6M | 3.6M | 3.7M | 3.7M | 3.8M | 2.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.8M | 8.4M | 20.2M | 7.0M | 418K | 397.1K | |
| Net Income | 9.7M | 7.5M | 8.0M | 10.3M | 1.4M | 1.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 92.4M | 112.6M | 156.3M | 27.3M | 71.4M | 60.7M | |
| Investments | 25.5M | (95.4M) | (96.5M) | (88.7M) | 91.4M | 95.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.2M) | 1.3M | 1.1M | (897K) | (1.0M) | (1.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (2.8M) | (1.7M) | 807K | (612K) | (550.8K) | (523.3K) |
Auburn National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Auburn National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Auburn National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Auburn stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Auburn National Volatility Alert
Auburn National Bancorporation has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.69 and kurtosis of 6.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Auburn National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Auburn National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Auburn National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Auburn National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Auburn National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Auburn National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Auburn National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Auburn National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Auburn National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Auburn National to competition |
| Fundamentals | Auburn National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0117 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 8.0E-4 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.29 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (10.17 M) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.49 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 34.86 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 8.63 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.08 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.51 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.97 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.55 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 23.16 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 32.67 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.32 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.4 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 133.11 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 37.97 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 9.22 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 24.14 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 11.87 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.30 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.25 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 149 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.56 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 79.66 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 975.25 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 113.4 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.67 % | |
| Net Asset | 975.25 M | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.08 |
Note: Acquisition by Housel David E of 100 shares of Auburn National at 19.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Auburn National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Auburn . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Auburn National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Auburn National Bancorporation? Buying financial instruments such as Auburn Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Auburn National in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Financials Thematic Idea Now
Financials
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Auburn National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Auburn National. If investors know Auburn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Auburn National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.165 | Dividend Share 1.08 | Earnings Share 0.25 | Revenue Per Share 6.585 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
The market value of Auburn National Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Auburn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Auburn National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Auburn National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Auburn National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Auburn National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Auburn National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Auburn National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Auburn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.