American Vanguard Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| AVD Stock | USD 5.08 0.06 1.20% |
American Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast American Vanguard stock prices and determine the direction of American Vanguard's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Vanguard's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of American Vanguard's stock price is about 64. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling American, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.38 | Wall Street Target Price 12 |
Using American Vanguard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Vanguard from the perspective of American Vanguard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Vanguard using American Vanguard's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Vanguard's stock price.
American Vanguard Implied Volatility | 1.33 |
American Vanguard's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Vanguard stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Vanguard's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Vanguard stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Vanguard's options are near their expiration.
American Vanguard after-hype prediction price | USD 5.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Vanguard to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Vanguard's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Vanguard's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Vanguard stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Vanguard's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Vanguard's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Vanguard is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American Vanguard Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 9823.04 | 8485.1 |
| Check American Vanguard Volatility | Backtest American Vanguard | Information Ratio |
American Vanguard Trading Date Momentum
| On January 30 2026 American Vanguard was traded for 5.08 at the closing time. Highest American Vanguard's price during the trading hours was 5.10 and the lowest price during the day was 4.85 . The net volume was 173.1 K. The overall trading history on the 30th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.18% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare American Vanguard to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for American Vanguard
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Vanguard's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Vanguard's price trends.American Vanguard Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Vanguard stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Vanguard could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Vanguard by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Vanguard Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Vanguard stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Vanguard shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Vanguard stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Vanguard entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
American Vanguard Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Vanguard's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Vanguard's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.33 | |||
| Variance | 11.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Vanguard
The number of cover stories for American Vanguard depends on current market conditions and American Vanguard's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Vanguard is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Vanguard's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Vanguard Short Properties
American Vanguard's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Vanguard's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Vanguard often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Vanguard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Vanguard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Vanguard to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Will Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals sector continue expanding? Could American diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Vanguard. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every American Vanguard data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Earnings Share (3.98) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.009 | Return On Assets |
Understanding American Vanguard requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects American's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what American Vanguard's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push American Vanguard's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that American Vanguard's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Vanguard represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, American Vanguard's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.