Aviat Networks Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVNW Stock  USD 15.12  0.67  4.64%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Aviat Networks is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aviat Networks given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aviat Networks. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aviat Networks, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aviat Networks Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Aviat Stock please use our How to Invest in Aviat Networks guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aviat and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aviat Networks. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Aviat Networks Buy or Sell Advice

The Aviat recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aviat Networks. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aviat Networks or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aviat Networks' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aviat NetworksBuy Aviat Networks
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves completely opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aviat Networks has a Mean Deviation of 2.83, Standard Deviation of 5.62 and Variance of 31.55
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Aviat Networks and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Aviat Networks is not overpriced, please confirm all Aviat Networks fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the net income and beta . Given that Aviat Networks has a number of shares shorted of 478.74 K, we suggest you to validate Aviat Networks market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aviat Networks Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aviat Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aviat Networks has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investing.com: Aviat Networks director Michele Klein buys 19,530 in shares

Aviat Networks Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aviat Networks' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aviat Networks' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aviat Networks daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aviat Networks price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aviat Networks returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aviat Networks.
Mean Return
-0.8
Value At Risk
-5.01
Potential Upside
4.29
Standard Deviation
5.62
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aviat Networks historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aviat Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Aviat Networks, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aviat Networks back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Potrero Capital Research, Llc2024-06-30
246.1 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
233.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
207.7 K
Oberweis Asset Management Inc2024-06-30
199.3 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-09-30
192.7 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
190.9 K
Boothbay Fund Management, Llc2024-06-30
171.8 K
B. Riley Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
166.4 K
Herald Investment Management Ltd2024-09-30
155 K
Paradigm Capital Management, Inc.2024-06-30
999.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
767.4 K
Note, although Aviat Networks' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aviat Networks Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(6.7M)(11.1M)(3.9M)(4.5M)1.6M1.7M
Change In Cash9.7M6.3M(11.1M)(14.6M)42.4M44.5M
Free Cash Flow12.9M14.5M997K(7.0M)27.9M29.3M
Depreciation4.4M5.4M4.5M6.2M5.0M9.6M
Other Non Cash Items5.4M1.3M100K5.0M6.4M6.1M
Capital Expenditures4.6M2.8M1.8M5.3M2.7M2.5M
Net Income257K110.1M21.2M11.5M10.8M11.3M
End Period Cash Flow41.9M48.2M37.1M22.5M64.9M55.5M
Dividends Paid35K29K1.7M72K64.8K61.6K
Change To Netincome7.0M(86.4M)13.5M20.6M18.5M19.4M
Investments(4.6M)(2.8M)(8.3M)9.2M(35.2M)(33.5M)

Aviat Networks Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aviat Networks or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aviat Networks' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aviat stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.71
σ
Overall volatility
5.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Aviat Networks Volatility Alert

Aviat Networks exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.04 and kurtosis of 21.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aviat Networks' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aviat Networks' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aviat Networks Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aviat Networks' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aviat Networks' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aviat Networks and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aviat Networks or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aviat Networks' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aviat Networks by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aviat Networks to competition
FundamentalsAviat NetworksPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0198-0.31
Return On Asset0.0135-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.18) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation219.62 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding12.69 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.73 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions74.40 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted478.74 K4.71 M
Price To Earning24.93 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.74 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.45 X11.42 X
Revenue408.08 M9.43 B
Gross Profit124.17 M27.38 B
EBITDA36.46 M3.9 B
Net Income10.76 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents47.77 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.27 X5.01 X
Total Debt52.18 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.49 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations30.54 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.84 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.38) X3.12 X
Target Price34.5
Number Of Employees90918.84 K
Beta1.8-0.15
Market Capitalization183.38 M19.03 B
Total Asset535.22 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(578.51 M)9.33 B
Working Capital186.37 M1.48 B
Current Asset140.41 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Mutch John of 83 shares of Aviat Networks subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Aviat Networks Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aviat . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aviat Networks Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aviat Networks? Buying financial instruments such as Aviat Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aviat Networks in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Emerging Markets Funds
Emerging Markets Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in markets of developing countries. The Emerging Markets Funds theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Emerging Markets Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Aviat Stock Analysis

When running Aviat Networks' price analysis, check to measure Aviat Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aviat Networks is operating at the current time. Most of Aviat Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aviat Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aviat Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aviat Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.