Aviat Networks Stock Performance

AVNW Stock  USD 21.39  0.23  1.09%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.93, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aviat Networks will likely underperform. At this point, Aviat Networks has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Aviat Networks' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if Aviat Networks performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Aviat Networks has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the venture sophisticated investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow64.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-28.5 M

Aviat Networks Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,466  in Aviat Networks on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (327.00) from holding Aviat Networks or give up 13.26% of portfolio value over 90 days. Aviat Networks is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.4258% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Aviat, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aviat Networks is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Aviat Networks Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aviat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.39 90 days 21.39 
about 67.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aviat Networks to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.13 (This Aviat Networks probability density function shows the probability of Aviat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.93 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aviat Networks will likely underperform. Additionally Aviat Networks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aviat Networks Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aviat Networks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aviat Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9621.3923.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9322.3624.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.7421.1623.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.8621.5922.32
Details

Aviat Networks Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aviat Networks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aviat Networks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aviat Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aviat Networks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Aviat Networks Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aviat Networks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aviat Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aviat Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Freedom Capital Maintains Positive Outlook on Frequency Electronics Despite Q2 Results Short of Expectations

Aviat Networks Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aviat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aviat Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aviat Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59.7 M

Aviat Networks Fundamentals Growth

Aviat Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aviat Networks, and Aviat Networks fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aviat Stock performance.

About Aviat Networks Performance

Evaluating Aviat Networks' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Aviat Networks has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Aviat Networks has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Aviat Networks, Inc. provides microwave networking solutions in North America, Africa, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas. Aviat Networks operates under Communication Equipment classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 636 people.

Things to note about Aviat Networks performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aviat Networks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aviat Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aviat Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Freedom Capital Maintains Positive Outlook on Frequency Electronics Despite Q2 Results Short of Expectations
Evaluating Aviat Networks' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aviat Networks' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Aviat Networks' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aviat Networks' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aviat Networks' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aviat Networks' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aviat Networks' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aviat Networks' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aviat Networks' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aviat Networks' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aviat Networks' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Aviat Stock Analysis

When running Aviat Networks' price analysis, check to measure Aviat Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aviat Networks is operating at the current time. Most of Aviat Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aviat Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aviat Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aviat Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.