American Axle Manufacturing Market Outlook
| AXLDelisted Stock | USD 9.00 0.61 7.27% |
About 55% of American Axle's institutional investors are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading American Axle Manufacturing stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. American Axle's investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards American Axle Manufacturing.
Comfort Level 55
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use American Axle's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward American Axle Manufacturing.
News SentimentNeutral | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding American Axle Manufacturing is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of American Axle's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute American Axle Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Axle Manufacturing. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Axle Manufacturing or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Axle's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
For the selected time horizon American Axle Manufacturing has a Mean Deviation of 2.4, Semi Deviation of 2.14, Standard Deviation of 3.32, Variance of 11.05, Downside Variance of 7.21 and Semi Variance of 4.57We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on American Axle Manufa. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure American Axle is not overpriced, please confirm all American Axle Manufa fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, target price, and the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that American Axle Manufa has a price to earning of 15.16 X, we suggest you to validate American Axle Manufacturing market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
American Axle Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| American Axle Manufa is now traded under the symbol DCH. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| American Axle Manufa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Axle Manufa has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Dauch Corporation Completes Acquisition of Dowlais Group plc |
American Axle Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Axle's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Axle's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Axle daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Axle Manufacturing price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Axle returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for American Axle.
| Mean Return | 0.57 | Value At Risk | -4.01 | Potential Upside | 8.55 | Standard Deviation | 3.32 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Axle historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Axle Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Axle or Automobile Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Axle's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
American Axle Volatility Alert
American Axle Manufacturing currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.14 and Jensen Alpha of 0.6. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Axle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Axle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Axle Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Axle's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Axle's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Axle and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Axle or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Axle's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Axle by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Axle to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Axle | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0628 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0295 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.96 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 118.7 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.77 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.23 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 27.35 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 15.16 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.70 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.17 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.12 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 717.9 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 718.5 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 33.8 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 552.9 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.14 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.74 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 6.38 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.69 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.05 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 455.4 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 10.58 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.34 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.17) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 9.78 | |
| Number Of Employees | 19 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.59 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 975.68 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.06 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (248.2 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 739.6 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by David Dauch of 575758 shares of American Axle subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Axle Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About American Axle Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Axle Manufacturing? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having American Axle in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Manufacturing Thematic Idea Now
Manufacturing
Companies that provide goods across residential, commercial and industrial construction such as machinery, tools, or lumber production. The Manufacturing theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Manufacturing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out American Axle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Other Consideration for investing in American Stock
If you are still planning to invest in American Axle Manufa check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the American Axle's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements |