Azul Sa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AZUL Stock | USD 2.43 0.07 2.97% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Azul SA is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Azul SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Azul SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Azul Stock please use our How to buy in Azul Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Azul and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Azul SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
Azul |
Execute Azul SA Buy or Sell Advice
The Azul recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Azul SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Azul SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Azul SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Azul SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Azul SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Azul SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Azul SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Azul SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Azul SA currently holds 26.34 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 122.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Azul SA has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Azul SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 18.55 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.38 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.88 B. | |
| Azul SA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Azul Trading 7.3 percent Higher - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
Azul SA Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Azul SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Azul SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Azul SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Azul SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Azul SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Azul SA.
| Mean Return | -0.13 | Value At Risk | -7.93 | Potential Upside | 8.80 | Standard Deviation | 5.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Azul SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Azul Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 189.6 K | Xtx Topco Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 178.5 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 163.1 K | Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co Llc | 2024-09-30 | 162.1 K | Barclays Plc | 2024-09-30 | 147 K | Optiver Holding B.v. | 2024-09-30 | 145.9 K | Mirae Asset Global Investments (korea) Co Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 125.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 114.6 K | Voloridge Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 99.3 K | Long Focus Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 5 M | Perpetual Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M |
Azul SA Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (37.3M) | (159.1M) | (788.9M) | (3.0B) | (2.7B) | (2.6B) | |
| Change In Cash | 1.4B | 9M | (2.4B) | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.5B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 633.2M | (1.1B) | 1.2B | 2.6B | 3.0B | 3.2B | |
| Depreciation | 1.7B | 1.5B | 2.0B | 2.4B | 2.8B | 2.9B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 9.7B | 3.4B | 3.2B | 2.2B | 2.5B | 1.6B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 343.1M | 776.8M | 1.3B | 803.3M | 923.8M | 794.8M | |
| Net Income | (10.8B) | (4.2B) | (722.4M) | (2.4B) | (2.1B) | (2.2B) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.1B | 3.1B | 668.3M | 1.9B | 2.2B | 1.2B | |
| Investments | (403.8M) | 90.7M | (639.9M) | (955.2M) | (859.7M) | (816.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (938.4M) | 909.7M | 901.7M | (4.2B) | (3.8B) | (3.6B) | |
| Dividends Paid | 810.8M | 0.0 | 3.1B | 2.4B | 2.7B | 2.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.2B | 8.0B | 2.9B | (109.9M) | (126.4M) | (120.1M) |
Azul SA Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Azul SA or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Azul SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Azul stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Azul SA Volatility Alert
Azul SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.21 and kurtosis of 1.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Azul SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Azul SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Azul SA Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Azul SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Azul SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Azul SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Azul SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Azul SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Azul SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Azul SA to competition |
| Fundamentals | Azul SA | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.0685 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.35) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.46 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 111.83 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 14.58 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.27 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.01 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 18.55 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.88 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 4.62 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (2.38 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.09 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 18.04 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 26.34 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 122.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.42 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (61.35) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.44 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.39 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (3.55) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 5.14 | |
| Number Of Employees | 15.76 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.86 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 271.74 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 20.53 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (25.67 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (9.7 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.69 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 3.19 B | 7.9 B |
| Net Asset | 20.53 B |
Azul SA Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Azul . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 38619.22 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7778 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.41 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.07 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.07 |
About Azul SA Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Azul SA? Buying financial instruments such as Azul Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Azul SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Azul Stock please use our How to buy in Azul Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Azul SA. If investors know Azul will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Azul SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | Earnings Share (3.55) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Azul SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Azul that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Azul SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Azul SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Azul SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Azul SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Azul SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Azul SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Azul SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.