Certara Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CERT Stock | USD 10.36 0.59 6.04% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Certara is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Certara given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Certara. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Certara, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Certara Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Certara Stock please use our How to Invest in Certara guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Certara and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Certara. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Certara |
Execute Certara Buy or Sell Advice
The Certara recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Certara. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Certara or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Certara's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Certara Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Certara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 354.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 203.07 M. | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CERT Earnings per Share -0.20 - GuruFocus.com |
Certara Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Certara's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Certara's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Certara daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Certara price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Certara returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Certara.
| Mean Return | -0.42 | Value At Risk | -4.01 | Potential Upside | 3.12 | Standard Deviation | 2.51 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Certara historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Certara Stock Institutional Investors
The Certara's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Certara's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners) | 2024-06-30 | 3.5 M | Riverbridge Partners Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Brown Brothers Harriman & Co | 2024-09-30 | 2.3 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.9 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 1.9 M | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.7 M | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Daventry Group, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-06-30 | 1.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 13.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 12.4 M |
Certara Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (9.5M) | (8.6M) | (269.9M) | (27.8M) | (31.1M) | (32.7M) | |
| Change In Cash | 17.6M | 243.5M | (86.7M) | 53.1M | (4.7M) | (4.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (8.4M) | (104.4M) | (3.9M) | (4.4M) | (4.0M) | (4.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 28.5M | 36.9M | 51.5M | 80.0M | 67.4M | 48.5M | |
| Depreciation | 41.6M | 42.8M | 45.1M | 52.5M | 56.1M | 50.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.7M | 1.5M | 3.2M | 2.8M | 75.0M | 78.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 9.5M | 7.9M | 8.9M | 12.5M | 15.3M | 12.0M | |
| Net Income | (8.9M) | (49.4M) | (13.3M) | 14.7M | (55.4M) | (52.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 29.8M | 273.3M | 186.6M | 239.7M | 235.0M | 179.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | (4.9M) | 56.6M | 29.9M | 20.1M | 23.1M | 21.9M |
Certara Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Certara or Health Care Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Certara's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Certara stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Certara Volatility Alert
Certara exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.83 and kurtosis of 3.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Certara's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Certara's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Certara Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Certara's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Certara's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Certara and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Certara or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Certara's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Certara by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Certara to competition |
| Fundamentals | Certara | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0295 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0059 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.65 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 160.98 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.59 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 95.94 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.36 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 1.49 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.22 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 354.34 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 203.07 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 23.84 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (55.36 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 195.44 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.22 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 298.19 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.29 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.51 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.55 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 82.75 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.66 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.20) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.49 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 14.28 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.34 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.51 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.57 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.56 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (116.23 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 210.18 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 1.56 B |
Note: Acquisition by Rona Anhalt of 21440 shares of Certara subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Certara Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Certara . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 110416.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8082 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.47 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.59 |
About Certara Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Certara? Buying financial instruments such as Certara Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Certara in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize ISP Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Certara Stock Analysis
When running Certara's price analysis, check to measure Certara's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Certara is operating at the current time. Most of Certara's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Certara's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Certara's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Certara to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.