Certara Stock Technical Analysis
| CERT Stock | USD 6.51 0.11 1.66% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, Certara shows the Standard Deviation of 2.76, mean deviation of 2.11, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10). Certara technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Certara Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Certara, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CertaraCertara's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Certara Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 12.38 | Buy | 11 | Odds |
Most Certara analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Certara stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Certara, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Certara conference calls.
Is there potential for Health Care Technology market expansion? Will Certara introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Certara. Projected growth potential of Certara fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Certara listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Earnings Share 0.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.103 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Certara requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Certara's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Certara's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Certara's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Certara's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Certara should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Certara's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Certara 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Certara's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Certara.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Certara on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Certara or generate 0.0% return on investment in Certara over 90 days. Certara is related to or competes with 10X Genomics, Clover Health, Vericel Corp, Schrodinger, Progyny, National HealthCare, and Omnicell. Certara, Inc. provides software products and technology-enabled services to customers for biosimulation in drug discover... More
Certara Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Certara's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Certara upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.75 |
Certara Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Certara's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Certara's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Certara historical prices to predict the future Certara's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.44) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.36) |
Certara February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.35) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (727.49) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Variance | 7.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.44) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.36) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.75 | |||
| Skewness | 0.3476 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4371 |
Certara Backtested Returns
Certara secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the company had a -0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Certara exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Certara's Standard Deviation of 2.76, risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Mean Deviation of 2.11 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.08, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Certara returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Certara is expected to follow. At this point, Certara has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to confirm Certara's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Certara performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.18 |
Very weak predictability
Certara has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Certara time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Certara price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Certara price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.18 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.11 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.4 |
Certara technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Certara Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Certara volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Certara Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Certara on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Certara based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Certara price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Certara. By analyzing Certara's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Certara's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Certara specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 96.06 | 112.85 | 101.57 | 80.62 | PTB Ratio | 2.67 | 1.61 | 1.86 | 1.76 |
Certara February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Certara help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Certara from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Certara charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.10) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.35) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (727.49) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Variance | 7.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.44) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.36) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.75 | |||
| Skewness | 0.3476 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4371 |
Certara February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Certara stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 161,146 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.34) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 6.66 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 6.61 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.21) |
Additional Tools for Certara Stock Analysis
When running Certara's price analysis, check to measure Certara's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Certara is operating at the current time. Most of Certara's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Certara's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Certara's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Certara to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.