Certara Stock Performance
| CERT Stock | USD 9.55 0.33 3.34% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Certara's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Certara is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Certara has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to confirm Certara's total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Certara performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Over the last 90 days Certara has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 6.24 | Five Day Return (1.33) | Year To Date Return (40.17) | Ten Year Return (72.74) | All Time Return (72.74) |
1 | Acquisition by Richard Traynor of 6651 shares of Certara subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/06/2024 |
2 | Disposition of 51224 shares by Leif Pedersen of Certara at 11.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 09/09/2024 |
3 | Should You Increase Your Holdings in Certara | 09/17/2024 |
4 | Acquisition by Smith Patrick F of 7151 shares of Certara subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/04/2024 |
5 | Disposition of 5409 shares by Smith Patrick F of Certara at 11.03 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/07/2024 |
6 | Certara to Report Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results on November 6th, 2024 | 10/09/2024 |
7 | Certara Appoints John Reynders as New Independent Board Member | 10/16/2024 |
8 | Certara Inc Shares Gap Down to 10.77 on Oct 23 | 10/23/2024 |
9 | Certara to Participate in the Stephens Annual Investment Conference | 10/28/2024 |
10 | Acquisition by Rona Anhalt of 21440 shares of Certara subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/31/2024 |
11 | Certara Inc Reports Q3 2024 Revenue of 94.8M, GAAP EPS Loss of 0.01, Aligns with Estimates | 11/06/2024 |
12 | Certara Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic ... | 11/07/2024 |
13 | Certara Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return | 11/15/2024 |
14 | CERT Earnings per Share -0.20 - GuruFocus.com | 11/20/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 239.7 M |
Certara |
Certara Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,328 in Certara on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (373.00) from holding Certara or give up 28.09% of portfolio value over 90 days. Certara is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5456% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Certara, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Certara Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Certara's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Certara, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Certara's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1926
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| Negative Returns | CERT |
Estimated Market Risk
| 2.55 actual daily | 22 78% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.49 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.19 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Certara is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Certara by adding Certara to a well-diversified portfolio.
Certara Fundamentals Growth
Certara Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Certara, and Certara fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Certara Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0295 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0059 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.65 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 160.98 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.49 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.22 X | ||||
| Revenue | 354.34 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 203.07 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 23.84 M | ||||
| Net Income | (55.36 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 195.44 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.22 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 298.19 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.29 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.55 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 82.75 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.20) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.57 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.56 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (116.23 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 210.18 M | ||||
About Certara Performance
Assessing Certara's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Certara's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Certara is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 9.82 | 14.55 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.15) | (0.16) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.04) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.05) | (0.05) |
Things to note about Certara performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Certara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Certara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Certara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 354.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 203.07 M. | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CERT Earnings per Share -0.20 - GuruFocus.com |
- Analyzing Certara's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Certara's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Certara's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Certara's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Certara's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Certara's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Certara's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Certara Stock Analysis
When running Certara's price analysis, check to measure Certara's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Certara is operating at the current time. Most of Certara's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Certara's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Certara's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Certara to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.