Canadian National Railway Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CNI Stock  USD 105.53  0.41  0.39%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Canadian National Railway is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Canadian National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Canadian National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Canadian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Canadian National Railway. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Canadian National Buy or Sell Advice

The Canadian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Canadian National Railway. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Canadian National Railway or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Canadian National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Canadian NationalBuy Canadian National
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Canadian National Railway has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.12), Total Risk Alpha of (0.19) and Treynor Ratio of (0.20)
Macroaxis provides advice on Canadian National Railway to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Canadian National Railway. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Canadian National is not overpriced, please confirm all Canadian National Railway fundamentals, including its cash per share, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Canadian National Railway has a price to earning of 31.36 X, we suggest you to validate Canadian National Railway market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Canadian National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Canadian National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of December 2024 Canadian National paid $ 0.611 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 Undervalued Small Caps On ASX With Insider Buying

Canadian National Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Canadian National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Canadian National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Canadian National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Canadian National Railway price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Canadian National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Canadian National.
Mean Return
-0.07
Value At Risk
-1.92
Potential Upside
1.86
Standard Deviation
1.15
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Canadian National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Canadian Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32024-09-30
10.5 M
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-09-30
10.3 M
Mackenzie Investments2024-09-30
8.9 M
Jarislowsky Fraser Ltd2024-09-30
8.7 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
5.9 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-09-30
5.6 M
Cibc World Markets Inc.2024-09-30
5.6 M
Fiera Capital Corporation2024-09-30
5.5 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-09-30
5.4 M
Gates Bill & Melinda Foundation2024-09-30
54.8 M
Tci Fund Management Limited2024-09-30
35.4 M
Note, although Canadian National's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Canadian National Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash512M241M(507M)90M103.5M108.7M
Free Cash Flow3.3B4.1B3.9B3.8B4.3B4.6B
Depreciation1.6B1.6B1.7B1.8B2.1B2.2B
Other Non Cash Items146M265M(173M)(136M)(122.4M)(116.3M)
Dividends Paid1.6B1.7B2.0B(2.1B)(2.4B)(2.3B)
Capital Expenditures2.9B2.9B2.8B3.2B3.7B1.9B
Net Income3.6B4.9B5.1B5.6B6.5B6.8B
End Period Cash Flow1.1B1.3B834M924M1.1B1.1B
Investments(2.9B)(2.9B)(2.5B)(3.2B)(2.9B)(2.7B)
Net Borrowings1.4B(705M)(392M)2.1B2.4B2.5B
Change To Netincome705M885M237M231M265.7M278.9M

Canadian National Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Canadian National or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Canadian National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Canadian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
1.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Canadian National Volatility Alert

Canadian National Railway exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.13 and kurtosis of -0.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Canadian National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Canadian National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Canadian National Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Canadian National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Canadian National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Canadian National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Canadian National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Canadian National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canadian National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Canadian National to competition
FundamentalsCanadian NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.28-0.31
Return On Asset0.0818-0.14
Profit Margin0.32 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.40 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation80.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding628.8 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.64 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions75.31 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.14 M4.71 M
Price To Earning31.36 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.89 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.87 X11.42 X
Revenue16.83 B9.43 B
Gross Profit9.45 B27.38 B
EBITDA9.03 B3.9 B
Net Income5.62 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents328 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.60 X5.01 X
Total Debt18.89 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.71 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share30.95 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations6.96 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.87 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.72 X4.89 X
Target Price118.0
Number Of Employees25.43 K18.84 K
Beta0.65-0.15
Market Capitalization66.36 B19.03 B
Total Asset52.67 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings18.66 B9.33 B
Working Capital(1.95 B)1.48 B

Canadian National Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Canadian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Canadian National Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Canadian National Railway? Buying financial instruments such as Canadian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Marketing
Marketing Theme
Companies providing marketing and public relation (PR) services as well as news and media distribution. The Marketing theme has 46 constituents at this time.
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When determining whether Canadian National Railway offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Canadian National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Canadian National Railway Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Canadian National Railway Stock:
Check out Canadian National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Canadian National. If investors know Canadian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Canadian National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.018
Dividend Share
3.325
Earnings Share
5.87
Revenue Per Share
26.896
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.031
The market value of Canadian National Railway is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Canadian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Canadian National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Canadian National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Canadian National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Canadian National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Canadian National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Canadian National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Canadian National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.