Canadian National Valuation

CNI Stock  USD 109.20  2.36  2.21%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Canadian National Railway shows a prevailing Real Value of $99.36 per share. The current price of the firm is $109.2. Our model approximates the value of Canadian National Railway from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.28, profit margin of 0.32 %, and Current Valuation of 82.13 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Canadian National's valuation include:
Price Book
4.8187
Enterprise Value
82.1 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
12.82
Price Sales
3.9152
Forward PE
18.018
Overvalued
Today
109.20
Please note that Canadian National's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Canadian National Railway is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Canadian National's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Canadian National is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Canadian Stock. However, Canadian National's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  109.2 Real  99.36 Target  122.77 Hype  106.84 Naive  105.61
The intrinsic value of Canadian National's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Canadian National's stock price.
99.36
Real Value
117.52
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Canadian National Railway helps investors to forecast how Canadian stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Canadian National more accurately as focusing exclusively on Canadian National's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.821.491.86
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.80106.84107.88
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.561.581.61
Details
33 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
111.72122.77136.27
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Canadian National Railway, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Canadian National Cash

257.68 Million

Canadian Valuation Trend

Canadian National's real value analysis enables investors to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Canadian National's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Canadian National Total Value Analysis

Canadian National Railway is currently estimated to have company total value of 82.13 B with market capitalization of 67.18 B, debt of 18.89 B, and cash on hands of 328 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Canadian National fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
82.13 B
67.18 B
18.89 B
328 M

Canadian National Investor Information

About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Canadian National was currently reported as 30.95. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.04. Canadian National Railway last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of December 2013. Based on the analysis of Canadian National's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Canadian National Railway may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial distress next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.280.392
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.7 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income3.7 B6.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Canadian National Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Canadian National has an asset utilization ratio of 31.95 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.32 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Canadian National Railway is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Canadian National Ownership Allocation

Canadian National holds a total of 628.8 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Canadian National Railway outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Canadian National Railway to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Canadian National. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Canadian National Railway as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on July 9, 2018, Representative Greg Gianforte of US Congress acquired $15k to $50k worth of Canadian National Railway's common stock.

Canadian National Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 16.83 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.62 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.62 B.

Canadian National Past Distributions to stockholders

About Canadian National Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Canadian Stock, attempts to find the value of Canadian National Railway based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Canadian National's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Canadian National's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Canadian National. We calculate exposure to Canadian National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Canadian National's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit7.2 B5.5 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.39  0.23 
Operating Profit Margin 0.39  0.28 
Net Profit Margin 0.33  0.18 
Gross Profit Margin 0.42  0.65 

Canadian National Quarterly Retained Earnings

17.89 Billion

Canadian National's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Canadian National's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Canadian National can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Canadian National represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Canadian, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Canadian National Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The Canadian National's current Dividends Paid is estimated to increase to about 2.2 B, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01. . The Canadian National's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.43, while Retained Earnings are projected to decrease to under 9.7 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid2.1 B2.2 B
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.37  0.21 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.32  1.06 
There are various types of dividends Canadian National can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Canadian shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Canadian National Railway directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Canadian pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Canadian National by the value of the dividends paid out.

Canadian National Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding659.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.018
Forward Price Earnings18.018

Canadian National Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Canadian National Railway and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Canadian we look at many different elements of the entity such as Canadian's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Canadian National, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Canadian National's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Canadian National's worth.

Complementary Tools for Canadian Stock analysis

When running Canadian National's price analysis, check to measure Canadian National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canadian National is operating at the current time. Most of Canadian National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canadian National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canadian National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canadian National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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