Custom Truck One Stock Market Outlook
| CTOS Stock | USD 6.77 0.29 4.11% |
Slightly above 53% of Custom Truck's private investors are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Custom Truck One stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Custom Truck's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Custom Truck's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 53
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Custom Truck's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Custom Truck One.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentAcquiring |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Custom Truck One is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Custom Truck One given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Custom Truck One, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Execute Custom Truck Advice
The Custom recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Custom Truck One. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Custom Truck One or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Custom Truck's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Custom Truck One has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0585, Jensen Alpha of 0.0931, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0438, Sortino Ratio of 0.0574 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0922We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Custom Truck One. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Custom Truck is not overpriced, please confirm all Custom Truck One fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Custom Truck One has a number of shares shorted of 1.9 M, we suggest you to validate Custom Truck One market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Custom Truck Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Custom Truck One has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.8 B. Net Loss for the year was (28.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 407.3 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Hiabs Expanded Distribution Deal Reframing the Diversification Story for Custom Truck One Source |
Custom Truck Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Custom Truck's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Custom Truck's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Custom Truck daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Custom Truck One price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Custom Truck returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Custom Truck.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -3.43 | Potential Upside | 5.24 | Standard Deviation | 2.29 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Custom Truck historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Custom Stock Institutional Investors
The Custom Truck's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Custom Truck's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Clearbridge Advisors, Llc | 2025-09-30 | 1.6 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-09-30 | 1.4 M | State Street Corp | 2025-09-30 | 1.3 M | Ack Asset Management Llc | 2025-12-31 | 800.1 K | Intrinsic Edge Capital Management, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 779.6 K | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 777.9 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 772.2 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-09-30 | 722.3 K | Heartland Advisors Inc | 2025-09-30 | 700 K | Platinum Equity Advisors, Llc/de | 2025-12-31 | 156.7 M | Canvas Wealth Advisors, Llc | 2025-12-31 | 7.1 M |
Custom Truck Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 46.6M | (194.7M) | (388.1M) | (64.9M) | (58.4M) | (61.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 32.5M | (21.5M) | (4.1M) | (6.5M) | (5.9M) | (5.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 535.2M | 41.7M | 240.9M | 88.3M | 101.6M | 104.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (31.2M) | (358.7M) | (511.6M) | (353.6M) | (318.3M) | (302.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 209.1M | 223.5M | 225.4M | 242.7M | 279.1M | 293.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 72.1M | (58.0M) | (49.1M) | (48.6M) | (43.7M) | (41.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 188.4M | 340.8M | 364.2M | 398.3M | 458.1M | 481.0M | |
| Net Income | (181.5M) | 38.9M | 50.7M | (28.7M) | (33.0M) | (34.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 35.9M | 14.4M | 10.3M | 3.8M | 4.4M | 4.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | (48K) | (24.6M) | 88.6M | (43.2M) | (38.9M) | (36.9M) | |
| Investments | (1.4B) | (218.9M) | (176.6M) | (187.5M) | (168.7M) | (177.2M) |
Custom Truck Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Custom Truck or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Custom Truck's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Custom stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Custom Truck Volatility Alert
Custom Truck One has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.68 and kurtosis of 1.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Custom Truck's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Custom Truck's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Custom Truck Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Custom Truck's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Custom Truck's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Custom Truck and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Custom Truck or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Custom Truck's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Custom Truck by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Custom Truck to competition |
| Fundamentals | Custom Truck | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.03 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0232 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.11 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 226.56 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.62 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.9 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 19.11 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.08 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.8 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 407.3 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 380.66 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (28.66 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 28.52 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.12 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.43 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.97 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.47 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.46 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 44.68 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.26 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.11) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 7.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.62 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.11 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.59 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.5 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (586.53 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 300.75 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 3.5 B |
Note: Acquisition by Paul Bader of 22218 shares of Custom Truck subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Custom Truck Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Custom . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 93.91 |
Custom Truck Target Price Consensus
Custom target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Custom Truck's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 6 | Buy |
Most Custom analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Custom stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Custom Truck One, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationCustom Truck Target Price Projection
Custom Truck's current and average target prices are 6.77 and 7.75, respectively. The current price of Custom Truck is the price at which Custom Truck One is currently trading. On the other hand, Custom Truck's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Custom Truck Target Price
Custom Truck Analyst Ratings
Custom Truck's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Custom Truck stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Custom Truck's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Custom Truck's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Custom Truck Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Custom Truck One? Buying financial instruments such as Custom Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Macroaxis Picks
Daily selected watch list of stocks of large companies handpicked by Macroaxis Team based on their diversification potential. The Macroaxis Picks theme has 50 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Macroaxis Picks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Custom Stock Analysis
When running Custom Truck's price analysis, check to measure Custom Truck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Custom Truck is operating at the current time. Most of Custom Truck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Custom Truck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Custom Truck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Custom Truck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.