Custom Truck One Stock Market Outlook

CTOS Stock  USD 7.08  0.01  0.14%   
Slightly above 59% of all Custom Truck's private investors are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Custom Truck One stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Custom Truck's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Custom Truck's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.

Comfort Level 59

 Interested

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Custom Truck's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Custom Truck One.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Custom Truck One is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Custom Truck One given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Custom Truck One, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.

Execute Custom Truck Advice

The Custom recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Custom Truck One. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Custom Truck One or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Custom Truck's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Custom TruckBuy Custom Truck
Buy

Market Performance

FairDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

FairDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Custom Truck One has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1059, Jensen Alpha of 0.1227, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0088, Sortino Ratio of 0.1139 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1485
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Custom Truck One. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Custom Truck is not overpriced, please confirm all Custom Truck One fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Custom Truck One has a number of shares shorted of 2.02 M, we suggest you to validate Custom Truck One market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Custom Truck Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Custom Truck One has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.8 B. Net Loss for the year was (28.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 407.3 M.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Hiab Appoints Custom Truck One Source as New Dealer to Secure Strategic Growth in the Western and Northeastern U.S.

Custom Truck Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Custom Truck's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Custom Truck's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Custom Truck daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Custom Truck One price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Custom Truck returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Custom Truck.
Mean Return
0.34
Value At Risk
-3.54
Potential Upside
5.53
Standard Deviation
2.73
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Custom Truck historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Custom Stock Institutional Investors

The Custom Truck's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Custom Truck's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2025-06-30
1.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
1.4 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
1.3 M
State Street Corp2025-06-30
1.2 M
Heartland Advisors Inc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Acadian Asset Management Llc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co Llc2025-06-30
639.8 K
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
564.2 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2025-06-30
558.4 K
Platinum Equity Advisors, Llc/de2025-06-30
156.7 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2025-06-30
7.8 M
Note, although Custom Truck's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Custom Truck Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory46.6M(194.7M)(388.1M)(64.9M)(58.4M)(61.3M)
Change In Cash32.5M(21.5M)(4.1M)(6.5M)(5.9M)(5.6M)
Net Borrowings535.2M41.7M240.9M88.3M101.6M104.9M
Free Cash Flow(31.2M)(358.7M)(511.6M)(353.6M)(318.3M)(302.4M)
Depreciation209.1M223.5M225.4M242.7M279.1M293.1M
Other Non Cash Items72.1M(58.0M)(49.1M)(48.6M)(43.7M)(41.5M)
Capital Expenditures188.4M340.8M364.2M398.3M458.1M481.0M
Net Income(181.5M)38.9M50.7M(28.7M)(33.0M)(34.6M)
End Period Cash Flow35.9M14.4M10.3M3.8M4.4M4.2M
Change To Netincome(48K)(24.6M)88.6M(43.2M)(38.9M)(36.9M)
Investments(1.4B)(218.9M)(176.6M)(187.5M)(168.7M)(177.2M)

Custom Truck Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Custom Truck or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Custom Truck's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Custom stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.23
σ
Overall volatility
2.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Custom Truck Volatility Alert

Custom Truck One currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Custom Truck's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Custom Truck's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Custom Truck Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Custom Truck's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Custom Truck's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Custom Truck and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Custom Truck or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Custom Truck's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Custom Truck by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Custom Truck to competition
FundamentalsCustom TruckPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.03-0.31
Return On Asset0.0232-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.04 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding226.56 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.46 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.03 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.02 M4.71 M
Price To Earning19.11 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.82 X11.42 X
Revenue1.8 B9.43 B
Gross Profit407.3 M27.38 B
EBITDA380.66 M3.9 B
Net Income(28.66 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents28.52 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.12 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.43 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.97 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.47 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.46 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations44.68 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.36 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.11) X3.12 X
Target Price7.75
Number Of Employees2.62 K18.84 K
Beta1.17-0.15
Market Capitalization1.58 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.5 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(586.53 M)9.33 B
Working Capital300.75 M1.48 B
Net Asset3.5 B
Note: Acquisition by Paul Bader of 22218 shares of Custom Truck subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Custom Truck Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Custom . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Custom Truck Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Custom Truck One? Buying financial instruments such as Custom Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Custom Truck in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Macroaxis Index Theme
An experimental equal-weighted index theme of selected equities generated based on Macroaxis rating and scoring system. The Macroaxis Index theme has 52 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Macroaxis Index Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Custom Stock Analysis

When running Custom Truck's price analysis, check to measure Custom Truck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Custom Truck is operating at the current time. Most of Custom Truck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Custom Truck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Custom Truck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Custom Truck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.