Custom Truck One Stock Price Prediction
| CTOS Stock | USD 5.25 0.07 1.35% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
82
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.05 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0933 | Wall Street Target Price 6.1667 |
Using Custom Truck hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Custom Truck One from the perspective of Custom Truck response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Custom Truck to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Custom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Custom Truck after-hype prediction price | USD 5.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Custom Truck After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Custom Truck at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Custom Truck or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Custom Truck, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Custom Truck Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Custom Truck's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Custom Truck's historical news coverage. Custom Truck's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.59 and 9.13, respectively. We have considered Custom Truck's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Custom Truck is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Custom Truck One is based on 3 months time horizon.
Custom Truck Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Custom Truck is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Custom Truck backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Custom Truck, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 3.78 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.25 | 5.36 | 2.10 |
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Custom Truck Hype Timeline
Custom Truck One is currently traded for 5.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.23. Custom is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.36 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 2.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Custom Truck is about 576.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.02. Custom Truck One currently holds 2.2 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.97, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Custom Truck Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Custom Truck Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Custom Truck's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Custom Truck's future price movements. Getting to know how Custom Truck's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Custom Truck may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AAN | AAG Energy Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.24 | (0.16) | 0.61 | (0.40) | 1.81 | |
| PRG | PROG Holdings | (1.85) | 12 per month | 2.27 | (0.01) | 3.11 | (2.60) | 13.60 | |
| MGRC | McGrath RentCorp | (2.96) | 7 per month | 1.55 | 0.05 | 3.07 | (3.05) | 11.62 | |
| HEES | HE Equipment Services | 0.46 | 8 per month | 2.06 | 0.09 | 3.36 | (3.22) | 15.53 | |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | 1.33 | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.05 | 2.45 | (1.44) | 8.69 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.1 | 8 per month | 3.66 | 0.08 | 6.88 | (5.48) | 25.52 | |
| HRI | Herc Holdings | (1.67) | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.20 | 6.47 | (2.36) | 20.05 |
Custom Truck Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Custom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Custom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Custom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Custom Truck Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Custom Truck stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Custom Truck One, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Custom Truck based on analysis of Custom Truck hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Custom Truck's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Custom Truck's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 10.5 | 13.63 | 11.99 | 6.19 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 156.56 | 183.13 | 255.04 | 242.28 |
Story Coverage note for Custom Truck
The number of cover stories for Custom Truck depends on current market conditions and Custom Truck's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Custom Truck is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Custom Truck's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Custom Truck Short Properties
Custom Truck's future price predictability will typically decrease when Custom Truck's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Custom Truck One often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Custom Truck's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Custom Truck's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 245.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.3 M |
Additional Tools for Custom Stock Analysis
When running Custom Truck's price analysis, check to measure Custom Truck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Custom Truck is operating at the current time. Most of Custom Truck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Custom Truck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Custom Truck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Custom Truck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.