Citi Trends Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CTRN Stock | USD 18.92 1.03 5.76% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Citi Trends is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Citi Trends' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Citi Trends Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Citi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Citi Trends guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Citi and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Citi Trends. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Citi |
Execute Citi Trends Buy or Sell Advice
The Citi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Citi Trends. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Citi Trends or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Citi Trends' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Citi Trends Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 747.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 310.99 M. | |
| Citi Trends currently holds about 27.91 M in cash with (9.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.42. | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Citi Trends Appoints Kenneth D. Seipel as New Chief Executive Officer |
Citi Trends Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Citi Trends' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Citi Trends' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Citi Trends daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Citi Trends price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Citi Trends returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Citi Trends.
| Mean Return | 0.38 | Value At Risk | -4.32 | Potential Upside | 5.28 | Standard Deviation | 3.05 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Citi Trends historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Citi Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Citi Trends, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citi Trends back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 163.5 K | Shay Capital Llc | 2024-06-30 | 133.8 K | Solas Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 128.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 122 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 108.6 K | J. Goldman & Co Lp | 2024-09-30 | 100 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 96.2 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-09-30 | 84.8 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 80.4 K | Fund 1 Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.6 M | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 717.3 K |
Citi Trends Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 1.2M | 33.6M | (20.4M) | 16.8M | 19.3M | 20.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 2.1M | 103.3M | (73.4M) | 53.7M | (23.8M) | (22.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 18.4M | 93.9M | 44.6M | (16.5M) | (24.5M) | (23.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 18.5M | 19.3M | 20.4M | 20.6M | 19.0M | 18.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 47.0M | 49.6M | 51.5M | (11.2M) | 51.8M | 54.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 24.2M | 17.0M | 29.7M | 22.3M | 14.9M | 21.5M | |
| Net Income | 16.5M | 24.0M | 62.2M | 58.9M | (12.0M) | (11.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 19.9M | 123.2M | 49.8M | 103.5M | 79.7M | 50.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.2M | 2.5M | 53.0M | 59.4M | 68.4M | 71.8M | |
| Investments | 16.0M | 43.2M | (29.5M) | 60.2M | (13.4M) | (12.7M) |
Citi Trends Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Citi Trends or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Citi Trends' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Citi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Citi Trends Volatility Alert
Citi Trends currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Citi Trends' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Citi Trends' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Citi Trends Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Citi Trends' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Citi Trends' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Citi Trends and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Citi Trends or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Citi Trends' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citi Trends by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Citi Trends to competition |
| Fundamentals | Citi Trends | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0386 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.03) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.13) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 335.64 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 8.62 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 13.30 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 91.36 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.47 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.03 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.19 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 747.94 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 310.99 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.41 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (11.98 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 27.91 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.42 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 234.65 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.85 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.13 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 16.45 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (9.58 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 20.77 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.67) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.08 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 23.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.4 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 163 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 518.72 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 319.07 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 55.2 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Kenneth Seipel of 80000 shares of Citi Trends subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Citi Trends Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Citi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Citi Trends Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Citi Trends? Buying financial instruments such as Citi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Citi Trends Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Citi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Citi Trends guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citi Trends. If investors know Citi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Citi Trends listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share (2.67) | Revenue Per Share 91.639 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.017 | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Citi Trends is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Citi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Citi Trends' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Citi Trends' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Citi Trends' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Citi Trends' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citi Trends' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Citi Trends is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citi Trends' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.