Citi Trends Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator

CTRN Stock  USD 44.50  1.11  2.43%   
Citi Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Citi Trends' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Citi Trends' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Citi Trends fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of rsi of Citi Trends' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Citi Trends' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Citi Trends, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Citi Trends' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.77)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.875
Wall Street Target Price
57
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.79)
Using Citi Trends hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citi Trends from the perspective of Citi Trends response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Citi Trends using Citi Trends' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Citi using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Citi Trends' stock price.

Citi Trends Short Interest

An investor who is long Citi Trends may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Citi Trends and may potentially protect profits, hedge Citi Trends with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
34.5016
Short Percent
0.0917
Short Ratio
3.77
Shares Short Prior Month
539.5 K
50 Day MA
44.0118

Citi Relative Strength Index

Citi Trends Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Citi Trends' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Citi. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Citi can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Citi Trends. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Citi Trends' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Citi Trends.

Citi Trends Implied Volatility

    
  0.88  
Citi Trends' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Citi Trends stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Citi Trends' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Citi Trends stock will not fluctuate a lot when Citi Trends' options are near their expiration.

Citi Trends after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 46.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citi Trends to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Citi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Citi Trends guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Citi contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Citi Trends will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Citi Trends trading at USD 44.5, that is roughly USD 0.0245 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Citi Trends' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Citi Trends options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Citi Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Citi Trends' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Citi Trends' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Citi Trends stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Citi Trends' open interest, investors have to compare it to Citi Trends' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Citi Trends is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Citi. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Citi Trends Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Citi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Citi Trends has current Price Action Indicator of (0.37). Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check Citi Trends VolatilityBacktest Citi TrendsInformation Ratio  

Citi Trends Trading Date Momentum

On February 05 2026 Citi Trends was traded for  44.50  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 45.42  and the lowest listed price was  43.22 . The trading volume for the day was 75.3 K. The trading history from February 5, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.69% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare Citi Trends to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Citi Trends

For every potential investor in Citi, whether a beginner or expert, Citi Trends' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Citi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Citi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Citi Trends' price trends.

Citi Trends Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Citi Trends stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Citi Trends could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citi Trends by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Citi Trends Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Citi Trends stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Citi Trends shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Citi Trends stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Citi Trends entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Citi Trends Risk Indicators

The analysis of Citi Trends' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Citi Trends' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting citi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Citi Trends

The number of cover stories for Citi Trends depends on current market conditions and Citi Trends' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citi Trends is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citi Trends' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Citi Trends Short Properties

Citi Trends' future price predictability will typically decrease when Citi Trends' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Citi Trends often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Citi Trends' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citi Trends' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61.1 M
When determining whether Citi Trends offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Citi Trends' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Citi Trends Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Citi Trends Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citi Trends to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Citi Stock, please use our How to Invest in Citi Trends guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Will Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Citi diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citi Trends. Projected growth potential of Citi fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Citi Trends data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Earnings Share
(1.97)
Revenue Per Share
98.763
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.101
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Understanding Citi Trends requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Citi's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Citi Trends' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Citi Trends' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Citi Trends' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Citi Trends should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Citi Trends' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.