As of the 20th of February, Cenovus Energy shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1313, downside deviation of 2.08, and Mean Deviation of 1.82. Cenovus Energy technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Cenovus, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Cenovus
Cenovus
Cenovus Energy's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between Cenovus Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cenovus Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cenovus Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Cenovus Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cenovus Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cenovus Energy.
0.00
11/22/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 2 months and 31 days
02/20/2026
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If you would invest 0.00 in Cenovus Energy on November 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cenovus Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cenovus Energy over 90 days. Cenovus Energy is related to or competes with Enbridge, Imperial Oil, Suncor Energy, Pembina Pipeline, Tourmaline Oil, TC Energy, and ARC Resources. Cenovus Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and... More
Cenovus Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cenovus Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cenovus Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cenovus Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cenovus Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cenovus Energy historical prices to predict the future Cenovus Energy's volatility.
Cenovus Energy appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Cenovus Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which signifies that the company had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Cenovus Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Cenovus Energy's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1313, downside deviation of 2.08, and Mean Deviation of 1.82 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Cenovus Energy holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Cenovus Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Cenovus Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Cenovus Energy's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Cenovus Energy's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation
-0.72
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Cenovus Energy has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cenovus Energy time series from 22nd of November 2025 to 6th of January 2026 and 6th of January 2026 to 20th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cenovus Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current Cenovus Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.72
Spearman Rank Test
-0.84
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
4.61
Cenovus Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Cenovus Energy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Cenovus Energy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
Cenovus Energy Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Cenovus Energy volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Cenovus Energy Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Cenovus Energy on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cenovus Energy based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Cenovus Energy price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Cenovus Energy. By analyzing Cenovus Energy's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Cenovus Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Cenovus Energy specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Cenovus Energy February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Cenovus help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cenovus from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Cenovus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cenovus Energy February 20, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cenovus stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
When determining whether Cenovus Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cenovus Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cenovus Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cenovus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cenovus Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Cenovus Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cenovus Energy guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
It's important to distinguish between Cenovus Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cenovus Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cenovus Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.