Emcor Group Stock Technical Analysis
| EME Stock | USD 717.68 9.06 1.28% |
As of the 6th of February, EMCOR owns the Coefficient Of Variation of 1816.93, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1086, and Downside Deviation of 2.24. EMCOR Group technical analysis allows you to utilize past data patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm EMCOR Group downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if EMCOR Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 717.68 per share. Given that EMCOR Group has jensen alpha of 0.0663, we urge you to verify EMCOR's latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.
EMCOR Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as EMCOR, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to EMCOREMCOR's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.EMCOR Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 772.0 | Strong Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most EMCOR analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand EMCOR stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of EMCOR Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to EMCOR conference calls.
Will Construction & Engineering sector continue expanding? Could EMCOR diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EMCOR. Projected growth potential of EMCOR fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every EMCOR data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.133 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 24.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.164 |
EMCOR Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on EMCOR's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate EMCOR's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since EMCOR's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between EMCOR's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding EMCOR should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, EMCOR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
EMCOR 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to EMCOR's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of EMCOR.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in EMCOR on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding EMCOR Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in EMCOR over 90 days. EMCOR is related to or competes with Comfort Systems, Verisk Analytics, Old Dominion, United Airlines, Ingersoll Rand, Hubbell, and Veralto. EMCOR Group, Inc. provides electrical and mechanical construction, and facilities services primarily in the United State... More
EMCOR Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure EMCOR's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess EMCOR Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0331 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.24 |
EMCOR Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for EMCOR's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as EMCOR's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use EMCOR historical prices to predict the future EMCOR's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0477 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0663 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0072 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0303 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0986 |
EMCOR February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0477 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1086 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1816.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.2 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0331 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0663 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0072 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0303 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0986 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) | |||
| Skewness | (0.27) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.11) |
EMCOR Group Backtested Returns
At this point, EMCOR is very steady. EMCOR Group retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0841, which denotes the company had a 0.0841 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for EMCOR, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm EMCOR's Coefficient Of Variation of 1816.93, downside deviation of 2.24, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1086 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. EMCOR has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.04, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. EMCOR returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, EMCOR is expected to follow. EMCOR Group at this time owns a risk of 2.03%. Please confirm EMCOR Group treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if EMCOR Group will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | 0.02 |
Virtually no predictability
EMCOR Group has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between EMCOR time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of EMCOR Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current EMCOR price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1611.07 |
EMCOR technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
EMCOR Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of EMCOR Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About EMCOR Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of EMCOR Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of EMCOR Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on EMCOR Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding EMCOR Group. By analyzing EMCOR's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of EMCOR's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to EMCOR specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003204 | 0.00205 | 0.002358 | 0.00224 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.81 | 1.45 | 1.31 | 1.37 |
EMCOR February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of EMCOR help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EMCOR from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze EMCOR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0477 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1086 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1816.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.2 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0331 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0663 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0072 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0303 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0986 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.21 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) | |||
| Skewness | (0.27) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.11) |
EMCOR February 6, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as EMCOR stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10,627 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.30 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 711.80 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 713.76 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 10.41 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0001 |
Complementary Tools for EMCOR Stock analysis
When running EMCOR's price analysis, check to measure EMCOR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EMCOR is operating at the current time. Most of EMCOR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EMCOR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EMCOR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EMCOR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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