Ambac Financial (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FGPN Stock | EUR 11.60 0.10 0.85% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ambac Financial Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Ambac Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FGPN positions.
Check out Ambac Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ambac and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ambac Financial Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Ambac |
Execute Ambac Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The Ambac recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ambac Financial Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ambac Financial Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ambac Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Ambac Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ambac Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ambac Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Ambac Financial Group has accumulated 6.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 633.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambac Financial Group has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ambac Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ambac Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ambac Financial Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ambac to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ambac Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 250 M. Net Loss for the year was (17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 310 M. | |
| Ambac Financial Group has accumulated about 1000 M in cash with (131 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 22.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 79.0% of Ambac Financial shares are owned by institutional investors |
Ambac Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ambac Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ambac Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ambac Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ambac Financial Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ambac Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ambac Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.19 | Value At Risk | -2.45 | Potential Upside | 3.92 | Standard Deviation | 2.49 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ambac Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ambac Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ambac Financial or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ambac Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ambac stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Ambac Financial Volatility Alert
Ambac Financial Group currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ambac Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ambac Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ambac Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ambac Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ambac Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ambac Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ambac Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ambac Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ambac Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ambac Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ambac Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.022 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 1.58 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 1.85 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.35 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 44.97 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.94 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 78.67 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 4.16 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.72 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.38 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 250 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 310 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 428 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (17 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1000 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 22.04 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.45 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 633.10 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.78 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 22.44 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (131 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.56 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 132 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.16 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 707.18 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.3 B | 29.47 B |
| Net Asset | 12.3 B |
Ambac Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ambac . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 66.3 |
About Ambac Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ambac Financial Group? Buying financial instruments such as Ambac Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ambac Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Hedge Favorites Thematic Idea Now
Hedge Favorites
Hedge Funds pool capital from accredited individuals or institutional investors and invest in a variety of assets, often with complex portfolio-construction and risk-management techniques. The Hedge Favorites theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hedge Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Ambac Stock
When determining whether Ambac Financial Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ambac Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ambac Financial Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ambac Financial Group Stock:Check out Ambac Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.