Ambac Financial Valuation

FGPN Stock  EUR 11.60  0.10  0.85%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Ambac Financial Group shows a prevailing Real Value of €11.4 per share. The current price of the firm is €11.6. Our model approximates the value of Ambac Financial Group from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 1.58 %, and Return On Equity of 0.29 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
11.60
Please note that Ambac Financial's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ambac Financial Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ambac Financial's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Ambac stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Ambac Financial Group. Since Ambac Financial is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ambac Stock. However, Ambac Financial's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.6 Real  11.4 Hype  11.6 Naive  11.89
The real value of Ambac Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Ambac Financial Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Ambac Financial's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Ambac Financial's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
11.40
Real Value
13.90
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ambac Financial Group helps investors to forecast how Ambac stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ambac Financial more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ambac Financial's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2411.8812.51
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.1011.6014.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.3911.8914.38
Details

Ambac Financial Total Value Analysis

Ambac Financial Group is currently projected to have takeover price of 5.35 B with market capitalization of 707.18 M, debt of 6.45 B, and cash on hands of 1000 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Ambac Financial fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
5.35 B
707.18 M
6.45 B
1000 M

Ambac Financial Investor Information

About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ambac Financial Group recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.56. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Ambac Financial Group is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in January.

Ambac Financial Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ambac Financial has an asset utilization ratio of 2.03 percent. This implies that the Company is making €0.0203 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ambac Financial Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Ambac Financial Ownership Allocation

Ambac Financial holds a total of 44.97 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Ambac Financial Group outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Ambac Financial Group to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Ambac Financial. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Ambac Financial Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Ambac Financial Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 250 M. Net Loss for the year was (17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 310 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Ambac Financial's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Ambac Financial and how it compares across the competition.

About Ambac Financial Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Ambac Financial's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ambac Financial. We calculate exposure to Ambac Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ambac Financial's related companies.
Ambac Financial Group, Inc., a financial services holding company, provides financial guarantees to public and private sector clients in the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Austria, Australia, France, and Internationally. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in New York, New York. AMBAC FINL operates under Insurance - Specialty classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 113 people.

8 Steps to conduct Ambac Financial's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Ambac Financial's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Ambac Financial's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Ambac Financial's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Ambac Financial's revenue streams: Identify Ambac Financial's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Ambac Financial's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Ambac Financial's growth potential: Evaluate Ambac Financial's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Ambac Financial's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Ambac Financial's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Complementary Tools for Ambac Stock analysis

When running Ambac Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ambac Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambac Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ambac Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambac Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambac Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambac Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals