Greenbrier Companies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GBX Stock  USD 66.65  0.70  1.06%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Greenbrier Companies is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Greenbrier Companies given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Greenbrier Companies. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Greenbrier Companies, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Greenbrier Companies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Greenbrier Stock please use our How to Invest in Greenbrier Companies guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Greenbrier and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Greenbrier Companies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Greenbrier Companies Buy or Sell Advice

The Greenbrier recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Greenbrier Companies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Greenbrier Companies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Greenbrier Companies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Greenbrier CompaniesBuy Greenbrier Companies
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Greenbrier Companies has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1812, Jensen Alpha of 0.4193, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1712, Sortino Ratio of 0.3485 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4333
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendations on Greenbrier Companies that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Greenbrier Companies. Our advice engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Greenbrier Companies is not overpriced, please check out all Greenbrier Companies fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash per share, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Greenbrier Companies has a price to earning of 149.06 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Greenbrier Companies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Greenbrier Companies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Greenbrier Companies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Greenbrier Companies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Greenbrier Companies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Greenbrier Companies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Greenbrier Companies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Greenbrier Companies.
Mean Return
0.59
Value At Risk
-2.32
Potential Upside
3.46
Standard Deviation
2.61
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Greenbrier Companies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Greenbrier Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Greenbrier Companies, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greenbrier Companies back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2024-09-30
560.5 K
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-09-30
513.9 K
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
500.3 K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-06-30
475.3 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
463.3 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
401.9 K
Encompass Capital Advisors Llc2024-06-30
400 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
373.9 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
364.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
3.5 M
Note, although Greenbrier Companies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Greenbrier Companies Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory166.6M(166.5M)(267.9M)(17.2M)50M52.5M
Change In Cash503.6M(170.7M)(112.3M)(256.4M)65.9M69.2M
Free Cash Flow205.4M(179.5M)(531.1M)(290.9M)(68.7M)(65.3M)
Depreciation109.9M100.7M102M106.3M115.6M121.4M
Other Non Cash Items(11.9M)16.8M(31.8M)41.5M(5.4M)(5.1M)
Capital Expenditures66.9M139.0M380.7M362.1M398.3M418.2M
Net Income87.6M35.1M53.8M75.6M172.7M181.3M
End Period Cash Flow842.1M671.4M559.1M302.7M368.6M208.0M
Dividends Paid74.1M61.0M52.7M49.1M38.4M27.5M
Investments(1.8M)(117.8M)1.2M(280M)(320.4M)(304.4M)
Net Borrowings292.9M76.5M308.6M33M38.0M36.1M
Change To Netincome(19.4M)78.2M3.5M73.9M85.0M89.2M

Greenbrier Companies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Greenbrier Companies or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Greenbrier Companies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Greenbrier stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.34
σ
Overall volatility
2.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Greenbrier Companies Volatility Alert

Greenbrier Companies has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.81 and kurtosis of 22.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Greenbrier Companies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Greenbrier Companies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Greenbrier Companies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Greenbrier Companies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Greenbrier Companies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Greenbrier Companies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Greenbrier Companies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Greenbrier Companies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greenbrier Companies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Greenbrier Companies to competition
FundamentalsGreenbrier CompaniesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0473-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.56 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding31.36 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.43 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.57 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.97 M4.71 M
Price To Earning149.06 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.52 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.59 X11.42 X
Revenue3.54 B9.43 B
Gross Profit441.1 M27.38 B
EBITDA450.3 M3.9 B
Net Income172.7 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents281.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share14.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.82 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.06 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.24 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share44.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations329.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.99 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.96 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.93 X4.89 X
Target Price62.5
Number Of Employees14.2 K18.84 K
Beta1.48-0.15
Market Capitalization2.09 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.25 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.03 B9.33 B
Working Capital691.7 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2166 shares by Lorie Tekorius of Greenbrier Companies at 52.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Greenbrier Companies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Greenbrier . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Greenbrier Companies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Greenbrier Companies? Buying financial instruments such as Greenbrier Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Greenbrier Companies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Precious Metals Funds
Precious Metals Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in entities that are involved in mining, processing or dealing of precious metals. The Precious Metals Funds theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Precious Metals Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Greenbrier Stock Analysis

When running Greenbrier Companies' price analysis, check to measure Greenbrier Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenbrier Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Greenbrier Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenbrier Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenbrier Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.