Greenbrier Companies Stock Price Prediction
| GBX Stock | USD 64.34 0.29 0.45% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.413 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.32 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.4 | Wall Street Target Price 62.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.29 |
Using Greenbrier Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greenbrier Companies from the perspective of Greenbrier Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Greenbrier Companies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Greenbrier Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Greenbrier. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Greenbrier can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Greenbrier Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Greenbrier Companies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Greenbrier Companies.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Greenbrier Companies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Greenbrier because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Greenbrier Companies after-hype prediction price | USD 65.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Greenbrier |
Greenbrier Companies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Greenbrier Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greenbrier Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greenbrier Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Greenbrier Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Greenbrier Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greenbrier Companies' historical news coverage. Greenbrier Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63.20 and 68.42, respectively. We have considered Greenbrier Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Greenbrier Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greenbrier Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Greenbrier Companies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greenbrier Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greenbrier Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greenbrier Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 2.61 | 1.47 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
64.34 | 65.81 | 2.28 |
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Greenbrier Companies Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November Greenbrier Companies is traded for 64.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Greenbrier is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 65.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 88.47%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 2.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Greenbrier Companies is about 4698.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.31. Greenbrier Companies has 1.82 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.06, which is OK given its current industry classification. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Greenbrier Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Greenbrier Companies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Greenbrier Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Greenbrier Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greenbrier Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FSTR | LB Foster | 0.96 | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.17 | 6.37 | (3.40) | 14.55 | |
| RAIL | Freightcar America | (2.63) | 9 per month | 7.57 | 0.14 | 10.76 | (9.73) | 49.53 | |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake | 2.58 | 10 per month | 0.56 | 0.19 | 2.14 | (1.07) | 5.10 | |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | (0.27) | 11 per month | 1.81 | (0.02) | 1.98 | (2.44) | 11.99 | |
| TRN | Trinity Industries | 0.11 | 10 per month | 1.78 | 0.08 | 2.85 | (3.25) | 10.79 | |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern | 1.43 | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.02 | 2.69 | (2.27) | 12.14 | |
| UNP | Union Pacific | (3.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.68 | (2.01) | 8.64 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | 1.22 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.68 | (1.71) | 5.28 | |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | (0.46) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.56 | (1.66) | 4.89 |
Greenbrier Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Greenbrier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greenbrier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greenbrier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Greenbrier Companies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Greenbrier Companies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greenbrier Companies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greenbrier Companies based on analysis of Greenbrier Companies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Greenbrier Companies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greenbrier Companies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0386 | 0.0265 | 0.0255 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.43 |
Story Coverage note for Greenbrier Companies
The number of cover stories for Greenbrier Companies depends on current market conditions and Greenbrier Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greenbrier Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greenbrier Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Greenbrier Companies Short Properties
Greenbrier Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Greenbrier Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Greenbrier Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Greenbrier Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greenbrier Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 368.6 M |
Additional Tools for Greenbrier Stock Analysis
When running Greenbrier Companies' price analysis, check to measure Greenbrier Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenbrier Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Greenbrier Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenbrier Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenbrier Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.