Greenbrier Companies Valuation

GBX Stock  USD 65.71  1.63  2.42%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Greenbrier Companies retains a regular Real Value of $60.32 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $65.71. Our model calculates the value of Greenbrier Companies from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 3.58 B, return on equity of 0.11, and Return On Asset of 0.0473 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Greenbrier Companies' valuation include:
Price Book
1.5346
Enterprise Value
3.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.2681
Price Sales
0.5957
Forward PE
11.0619
Overvalued
Today
65.71
Please note that Greenbrier Companies' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Greenbrier Companies is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Greenbrier Companies' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Greenbrier Companies is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Greenbrier Stock. However, Greenbrier Companies' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  65.71 Real  60.32 Target  47.2 Hype  66.32
The intrinsic value of Greenbrier Companies' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Greenbrier Companies' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
60.32
Real Value
72.28
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Greenbrier Companies helps investors to forecast how Greenbrier stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Greenbrier Companies more accurately as focusing exclusively on Greenbrier Companies' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.150.901.16
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.7566.3268.89
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.9547.2052.39
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Greenbrier Companies' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Greenbrier Companies' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Greenbrier Companies' closest peers.

Greenbrier Companies Cash

205.17 Million

Greenbrier Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Greenbrier Companies' enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Greenbrier Companies over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Greenbrier Companies Total Value Analysis

Greenbrier Companies is currently forecasted to have company total value of 3.58 B with market capitalization of 2.11 B, debt of 1.82 B, and cash on hands of 281.7 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Greenbrier Companies fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.58 B
2.11 B
1.82 B
281.7 M

Greenbrier Companies Investor Information

About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Greenbrier Companies has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of November 2024. Based on the key indicators related to Greenbrier Companies' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Greenbrier Companies may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.0870.0864
Slightly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income321.3 M306 M
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable

Greenbrier Companies Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Greenbrier Companies has an asset utilization ratio of 83.2 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.83 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Greenbrier Companies is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Greenbrier Companies Ownership Allocation

The majority of Greenbrier Companies outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Greenbrier Companies to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Greenbrier Companies. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Greenbrier Companies as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Greenbrier Companies Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.54 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 172.7 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 441.1 M.

Greenbrier Companies Past Distributions to stockholders

About Greenbrier Companies Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Greenbrier Companies. We calculate exposure to Greenbrier Companies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Greenbrier Companies's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit553.5 M581.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Net Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.16  0.18 

Greenbrier Companies Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.03 Billion

Greenbrier Companies' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Greenbrier Companies' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Greenbrier Companies can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Greenbrier Companies represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Greenbrier, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Greenbrier Companies Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to rise to 0.34 in 2024, despite the fact that Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (36.5 M). . At this time, Greenbrier Companies' Retained Earnings are fairly stable compared to the past year. Earnings Yield is likely to rise to 0.11 in 2024, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 612.7 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-38.4 M-36.5 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.24  0.34 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.75  0.61 
There are various types of dividends Greenbrier Companies can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Greenbrier shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Greenbrier Companies directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Greenbrier pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Greenbrier Companies by the value of the dividends paid out.

Greenbrier Companies Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.413
Forward Price Earnings11.0619

Greenbrier Companies Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Greenbrier Companies and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Greenbrier we look at many different elements of the entity such as Greenbrier's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Greenbrier Companies, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Greenbrier Companies' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Greenbrier Companies' worth.

Additional Tools for Greenbrier Stock Analysis

When running Greenbrier Companies' price analysis, check to measure Greenbrier Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenbrier Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Greenbrier Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenbrier Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenbrier Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.