Greene County Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GCBC Stock | USD 31.44 0.15 0.47% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Greene County Bancorp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Greene County buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GCBC positions.
Check out Greene County Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Greene and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Greene County Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Greene |
Execute Greene County Buy or Sell Advice
The Greene recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Greene County Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Greene County Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Greene County's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Greene County Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Greene County had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Greene County has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Greene County Bancorp Has Announced A Dividend Of 0.09 |
Greene County Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Greene County's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Greene County's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Greene County daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Greene County Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Greene County returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Greene County.
| Mean Return | 0 | Value At Risk | -4.03 | Potential Upside | 3.36 | Standard Deviation | 3.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Greene County historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Greene Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 25 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 23.3 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 22.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 20.2 K | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-09-30 | 15.9 K | Swiss National Bank | 2024-09-30 | 15 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 11.9 K | Rhumbline Advisers | 2024-06-30 | 9 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 8.7 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 908.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 408.1 K |
Greene County Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 10.9M | 109.3M | (80.8M) | 127.4M | (6.1M) | (5.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 25.6M | 26.5M | 34.3M | 26.6M | 23.4M | 24.6M | |
| Depreciation | 713K | 775K | 826K | 871K | 928K | 709.7K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (19K) | (424K) | 2.2M | (1.2M) | (624K) | (592.8K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.1M | 1.3M | 1.1M | 1.5M | 1.5M | 939.5K | |
| Net Income | 18.7M | 23.9M | 28.0M | 30.8M | 24.8M | 26.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 40.5M | 149.8M | 69.0M | 196.4M | 190.4M | 199.9M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.2M | 2.4M | 2.6M | 2.2M | 3.2M | 1.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.9M | 1.2M | 1.3M | 73K | 84.0K | 79.8K | |
| Investments | (396.7M) | (283.4M) | (458.6M) | 661K | (129.2M) | (135.7M) | |
| Change Receivables | (796K) | (2.4M) | 426K | (1.1M) | (1.0M) | (971.3K) | |
| Net Borrowings | 11.9M | (2.9M) | 26.5M | (123.7M) | (111.3M) | (105.8M) |
Greene County Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Greene County or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Greene County's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Greene stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Greene County Volatility Alert
Greene County Bancorp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.04 and Jensen Alpha of -0.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Greene County's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Greene County's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Greene County Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Greene County's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Greene County's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Greene County and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Greene County or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Greene County's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greene County by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Greene County to competition |
| Fundamentals | Greene County | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0088 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.38 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.43 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 460.31 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 17.03 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 59.27 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 15.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 72.62 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 29.60 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.47 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 8.35 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 64.12 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 74.44 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 27.75 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 24.77 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 70.78 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.31 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 199.14 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.69 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.70 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 24.91 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.94 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.44 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 189 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.42 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 531.58 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.83 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 214.74 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Five Year Return | 1.44 % | |
| Net Asset | 2.83 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.34 |
Note: Acquisition by Slutzky Paul of 500 shares of Greene County at 26.8724 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Greene County Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Greene . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Greene County Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Greene County Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Greene Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Greene County in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run FinTech Thematic Idea Now
FinTech
High long term potential financial entities that are ranging from payment processing, investment management to commercial and investment banking. The FinTech theme has 81 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize FinTech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Greene County Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greene County. If investors know Greene will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greene County listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 0.34 | Earnings Share 1.44 | Revenue Per Share 3.763 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Greene County Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greene that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greene County's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greene County's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greene County's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greene County's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greene County's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greene County is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greene County's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.