Jiayin Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

JFIN Stock  USD 5.78  0.06  1.03%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Jiayin Group is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Jiayin's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Jiayin Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Jiayin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Jiayin Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Jiayin Buy or Sell Advice

The Jiayin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Jiayin Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Jiayin Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Jiayin's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell JiayinBuy Jiayin
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Jiayin Group has a Mean Deviation of 2.69, Semi Deviation of 4.62, Standard Deviation of 4.07, Variance of 16.53, Downside Variance of 23.96 and Semi Variance of 21.33
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Jiayin. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Jiayin Group is not overpriced, please check out all Jiayin fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, number of employees, and the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that Jiayin Group has a number of shares shorted of 25.1 K, we strongly advise you to confirm Jiayin Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Jiayin Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Jiayin Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jiayin Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Jiayin Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Jiayin Group reports Q3 results

Jiayin Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Jiayin's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Jiayin's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Jiayin daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Jiayin Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Jiayin returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Jiayin.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-7.27
Potential Upside
6.54
Standard Deviation
4.07
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Jiayin historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Jiayin Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Jiayin, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jiayin Group back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
1.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
222
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
86.0
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-06-30
52.0
Hanson Mcclain Inc2024-09-30
28.0
Signaturefd, Llc2024-09-30
24.0
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-06-30
0.0
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
0.0
Advisors Preferred, Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2024-06-30
67.4 K
Beacon Pointe Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
37.7 K
Note, although Jiayin's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Jiayin Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(234.2M)(3.4M)(126.2M)(22.9M)(105.9M)(111.1M)
Change In Cash39.2M(2.8M)65.2M108.5M79.6M83.6M
Net Borrowings13.9M(33.6M)230K3.1M2.8M2.7M
Free Cash Flow(1.3M)(36.4M)181.8M116.1M358.0M375.9M
Depreciation17.7M23.2M15.7M10.0M9.5M12.7M
Other Non Cash Items293.5M(114.0M)(136.3M)(55.5M)(91.4M)(86.8M)
Dividends Paid19.13400M0.02.6M156.7M164.5M
Capital Expenditures27.6M848K2.8M17.5M31.5M17.3M
Net Income527.2M250.1M467.8M1.2B1.3B1.4B
End Period Cash Flow122.1M119.3M184.6M293.0M372.6M251.7M
Change To Netincome333.7M378.9M65.8M(86.3M)(77.7M)(73.8M)

Jiayin Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Jiayin or Consumer Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Jiayin's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Jiayin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
4.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Jiayin Volatility Alert

Jiayin Group exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Jiayin's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Jiayin's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Jiayin Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Jiayin's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Jiayin's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Jiayin and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Jiayin or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Jiayin's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiayin by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Jiayin to competition
FundamentalsJiayinPeer Average
Return On Equity0.52-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.20 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation195.69 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding26.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.54 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.19 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted25.1 K4.71 M
Price To Earning2.79 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.82 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.05 X11.42 X
Revenue5.47 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.71 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.34 B3.9 B
Net Income1.3 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents213.88 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.96 X5.01 X
Total Debt47.96 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.06 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.61 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share51.77 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations389.59 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.12 X3.12 X
Target Price11.31
Number Of Employees92518.84 K
Beta0.85-0.15
Market Capitalization309.71 M19.03 B
Total Asset5.64 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.53 B9.33 B
Working Capital3.13 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.13 %

Jiayin Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Jiayin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Jiayin Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Jiayin Group? Buying financial instruments such as Jiayin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Jiayin in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Jiayin Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Jiayin's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Jiayin Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Jiayin Group Stock:
Check out Jiayin Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jiayin. If investors know Jiayin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jiayin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Dividend Share
6.405
Earnings Share
3.12
Revenue Per Share
112.933
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.155
The market value of Jiayin Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jiayin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jiayin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jiayin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jiayin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jiayin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiayin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiayin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiayin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.