Li Auto Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

LI Stock  USD 17.23  0.13  0.75%   
Li Auto Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Li Auto's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Li Auto's share price is approaching 30. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Li Auto, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 30

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Li Auto's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Li Auto, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Li Auto's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.5418
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.1072
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.1574
Wall Street Target Price
24.723
Using Li Auto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Li Auto from the perspective of Li Auto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Li Auto using Li Auto's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Li Auto using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Li Auto's stock price.

Li Auto Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Li Auto's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Li Auto. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Li Auto stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
24.078
Short Percent
0.057
Short Ratio
4.79
Shares Short Prior Month
21.7 M
50 Day MA
18.6246

Li Auto Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Li Auto's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Li Auto. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Li Auto can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Li Auto. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Li Auto's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Li Auto.

Li Auto Implied Volatility

    
  0.76  
Li Auto's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Li Auto stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Li Auto's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Li Auto stock will not fluctuate a lot when Li Auto's options are near their expiration.

Li Auto after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Li Auto to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Li Auto Stock please use our How to Invest in Li Auto guide.As of now, Li Auto's Receivables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Li Auto's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.84, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 7.29. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 1.1 B. The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (2.4 B).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Li Auto Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Li Auto's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Li Auto's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Li Auto stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Li Auto's open interest, investors have to compare it to Li Auto's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Li Auto is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Li Auto. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Li Auto Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Li Auto price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Li Auto using various technical indicators. When you analyze Li Auto charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Li Auto has current Accumulation Distribution of 0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Li Auto is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Li Auto to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Li Auto trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Li Auto VolatilityBacktest Li AutoInformation Ratio  

Li Auto Trading Date Momentum

On January 06 2026 Li Auto was traded for  17.23  at the closing time. The highest price during the trading period was 17.23  and the lowest recorded bid was listed for  17.23 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 6, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to the current price is 0.75% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Li Auto to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Li Auto

For every potential investor in Li Auto, whether a beginner or expert, Li Auto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Li Auto Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Li Auto. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Li Auto's price trends.

Li Auto Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Li Auto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Li Auto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Li Auto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Li Auto Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Li Auto's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Li Auto's current price.

Li Auto Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Li Auto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Li Auto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Li Auto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Li Auto entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Li Auto Risk Indicators

The analysis of Li Auto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Li Auto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting li auto stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Li Auto to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Li Auto Stock please use our How to Invest in Li Auto guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Li Auto. If investors know Li Auto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Li Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.02)
Earnings Share
1.09
Revenue Per Share
127.181
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.36)
Return On Assets
0.0149
The market value of Li Auto is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Li Auto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Li Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Li Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Li Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Li Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Li Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Li Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Li Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.