Lumentum Holdings (Germany) Market Outlook
| LU2 Stock | EUR 567.20 2.60 0.46% |
Roughly 50% of Lumentum Holdings' stockholders are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Lumentum Holdings stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Lumentum Holdings' historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Lumentum Holdings stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 50
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Lumentum Holdings' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Lumentum Holdings.
News SentimentNeutral | Hype SentimentNeutral | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lumentum Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Lumentum Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LU2 positions.
Execute Lumentum Holdings Advice
The Lumentum recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lumentum Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lumentum Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lumentum Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
For the selected time horizon Lumentum Holdings has a Mean Deviation of 4.63, Semi Deviation of 4.38, Standard Deviation of 5.79, Variance of 33.51, Downside Variance of 31.78 and Semi Variance of 19.16Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Lumentum Holdings to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Lumentum Holdings. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Lumentum Holdings is not overpriced, please verify all Lumentum Holdings fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to earning, price to sales, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to book .
Lumentum Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Lumentum Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lumentum Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lumentum vs. Amtech Which Semiconductor Stock is the Better Buy - Zacks Investment Research |
Lumentum Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lumentum Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lumentum Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lumentum Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lumentum Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lumentum Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Lumentum Holdings.
| Mean Return | 1.63 | Value At Risk | -7.44 | Potential Upside | 9.04 | Standard Deviation | 5.79 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lumentum Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lumentum Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (51.8M) | (81.5M) | 73.8M | (71.3M) | (64.2M) | (61.0M) | |
| Investments | (111.5M) | 115.8M | 722.8M | 98.8M | 113.6M | 119.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 515.9M | (431.2M) | (422.3M) | 84M | 75.6M | 79.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | 852.3M | 460.7M | (323.1M) | 68.4M | 78.7M | 74.7M | |
| Depreciation | 167.1M | 255.6M | 290.3M | 256.7M | 295.2M | 174M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 91.2M | 128.5M | 137M | 231M | 265.7M | 278.9M | |
| Net Income | 198.9M | (131.6M) | (546.5M) | 25.9M | 23.3M | 14.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 91.9M | 102.6M | 111.5M | 168.1M | 193.3M | 203.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.3B | 859M | 436.7M | 520.7M | 598.8M | 598.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 368.1M | 51.3M | (112.3M) | (104.7M) | (94.2M) | (89.5M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 83.8M | 36.4M | 10.7M | (500K) | (450K) | (427.5K) |
Lumentum Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lumentum Holdings or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lumentum Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lumentum stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
Lumentum Holdings Volatility Alert
Lumentum Holdings exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lumentum Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lumentum Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lumentum Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lumentum Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lumentum Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lumentum Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lumentum Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lumentum Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lumentum Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lumentum Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lumentum Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0029 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.6 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 71.4 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.60 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.40 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 151.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 10.42 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 19.76 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.65 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 781.4 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 267.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 25.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 697.5 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 9.13 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 10.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 55.80 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.96 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.02 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 126.3 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.91 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 95.88 | |
| Number Of Employees | 10.56 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.53 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 41.59 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.22 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (861.2 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.32 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 4.22 B |
Lumentum Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lumentum . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Lumentum Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lumentum Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Lumentum Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Lumentum Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Manufacturing Thematic Idea Now
Manufacturing
Companies that provide goods across residential, commercial and industrial construction such as machinery, tools, or lumber production. The Manufacturing theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Manufacturing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Lumentum Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Lumentum Stock please use our How to Invest in Lumentum Holdings guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.