Callaway Golf Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MODG Stock  USD 8.60  0.45  5.52%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Callaway Golf is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Callaway Golf buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MODG positions.
  
Check out Callaway Golf Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Callaway Stock please use our How to Invest in Callaway Golf guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Callaway and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Callaway Golf. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Callaway Golf Buy or Sell Advice

The Callaway recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Callaway Golf. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Callaway Golf or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Callaway Golf's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Callaway GolfBuy Callaway Golf
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Callaway Golf has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), Jensen Alpha of (0.52), Total Risk Alpha of (0.83) and Treynor Ratio of (0.46)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Callaway Golf. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Callaway Golf is not overpriced, please confirm all Callaway Golf fundamentals, including its total debt, target price, and the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Callaway Golf has a number of shares shorted of 16.32 M, we suggest you to validate Callaway Golf market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Callaway Golf Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Callaway Golf generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Callaway Golf has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Callaway Golf has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Topgolf Breaks Ground on Second Venue in Minnesota

Callaway Golf Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Callaway Golf's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Callaway Golf's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Callaway Golf daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Callaway Golf price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Callaway Golf returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Callaway Golf.
Mean Return
-0.41
Value At Risk
-4.45
Potential Upside
4.26
Standard Deviation
3.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Callaway Golf historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Callaway Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
2.6 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
2.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
M
Bwcp, Lp2024-09-30
1.9 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.9 M
Long Focus Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Hodges Capital Management Inc2024-06-30
1.6 M
Man Group Plc2024-06-30
1.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
22.1 M
Providence Equity Partners L.l.c.2024-09-30
21.2 M
Note, although Callaway Golf's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Callaway Golf Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(34.0M)117.0M(177.5M)(442.4M)163.2M171.4M
Change In Cash42.7M259.5M(8.4M)(177.5M)195M204.8M
Free Cash Flow31.8M189.0M(44.0M)(570.6M)(118.1M)(112.2M)
Depreciation35.0M39.5M155.8M192.8M239.7M251.7M
Other Non Cash Items48.9M219.4M(157.2M)137.9M61.6M64.7M
Capital Expenditures54.7M39.3M322.3M535.5M482.8M506.9M
Net Income79.2M(126.9M)322.0M157.9M95M49.1M
End Period Cash Flow106.7M366.1M357.7M180.2M393.5M413.2M
Dividends Paid3.8M1.9M3K0.0651M683.6M
Change To Netincome15.4M175.8M(209.4M)49.9M44.9M47.2M
Change Receivables(44.5M)10.0M15.3M(97.8M)(88.0M)(83.6M)
Net Borrowings543.2M152.5M(99.2M)293M337.0M353.8M
Investments(17.9M)(59.2M)(10.9M)(535.1M)(601.4M)(571.3M)

Callaway Golf Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Callaway Golf or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Callaway Golf's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Callaway stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.92
σ
Overall volatility
3.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Callaway Golf Volatility Alert

Callaway Golf exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of 0.83. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Callaway Golf's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Callaway Golf's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Callaway Golf Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Callaway Golf's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Callaway Golf's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Callaway Golf and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Callaway Golf or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Callaway Golf's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Callaway Golf by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Callaway Golf to competition
FundamentalsCallaway GolfPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0031-0.31
Return On Asset0.013-0.14
Profit Margin(0) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding183.82 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders11.84 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.49 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted16.32 M4.71 M
Price To Book0.38 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.38 X11.42 X
Revenue4.28 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.34 B27.38 B
EBITDA489.1 M3.9 B
Net Income95 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents179.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.97 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.36 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.89 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.29 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share21.41 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations364.7 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.04 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.07) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.67 X4.89 X
Target Price14.79
Number Of Employees32 K18.84 K
Beta1.76-0.15
Market Capitalization1.58 B19.03 B
Total Asset9.12 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings947.5 M9.33 B
Working Capital680.5 M1.48 B
Net Asset9.12 B
Note: Disposition of 3007 shares by Mark Leposky of Callaway Golf subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Callaway Golf Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Callaway . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Callaway Golf Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Callaway Golf? Buying financial instruments such as Callaway Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Callaway Golf in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Asset Management Thematic Idea Now

Asset Management
Asset Management Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Asset Management theme has 7 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Asset Management Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Callaway Golf is a strong investment it is important to analyze Callaway Golf's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Callaway Golf's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Callaway Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Callaway Golf Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Callaway Stock please use our How to Invest in Callaway Golf guide.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Leisure Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Callaway Golf. If investors know Callaway will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Callaway Golf listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Earnings Share
(0.07)
Revenue Per Share
22.907
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
0.013
The market value of Callaway Golf is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Callaway that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Callaway Golf's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Callaway Golf's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Callaway Golf's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Callaway Golf's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Callaway Golf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Callaway Golf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Callaway Golf's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.