Callaway Golf Stock Price Prediction
| MODG Stock | USD 8.59 0.01 0.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.19) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1131 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0708 | Wall Street Target Price 14.7909 |
Using Callaway Golf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Callaway Golf from the perspective of Callaway Golf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Callaway Golf Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Callaway Golf's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Callaway. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Callaway can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Callaway Golf. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Callaway Golf's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Callaway Golf.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Callaway Golf to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Callaway because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Callaway Golf after-hype prediction price | USD 8.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Callaway |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Callaway Golf's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Callaway Golf After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Callaway Golf at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Callaway Golf or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Callaway Golf, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Callaway Golf Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Callaway Golf's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Callaway Golf's historical news coverage. Callaway Golf's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.45 and 11.67, respectively. We have considered Callaway Golf's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Callaway Golf is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Callaway Golf is based on 3 months time horizon.
Callaway Golf Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Callaway Golf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Callaway Golf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Callaway Golf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.11 | 0.03 | 0.20 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.59 | 8.56 | 0.35 |
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Callaway Golf Hype Timeline
Callaway Golf is now traded for 8.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. Callaway is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Callaway Golf is about 481.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.79. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Callaway Golf has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.67. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.07. The firm last dividend was issued on the 26th of May 2020. Callaway Golf had 2:1 split on the 13th of March 1995. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Callaway Golf Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Callaway Golf Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Callaway Golf's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Callaway Golf's future price movements. Getting to know how Callaway Golf's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Callaway Golf may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEAS | SeaWorld Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | (0.05) | 3.85 | (3.45) | 10.32 | |
| BOWL | Bowlero Corp | 0.05 | 7 per month | 2.55 | (0.02) | 5.15 | (4.37) | 16.04 | |
| JOUT | Johnson Outdoors | (0.65) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.89 | (2.32) | 8.15 | |
| YETI | YETI Holdings | 2.62 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.85 | (3.01) | 12.33 | |
| XPOF | Xponential Fitness | (0.78) | 9 per month | 3.25 | 0.02 | 5.96 | (5.55) | 35.52 | |
| GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp | 1.81 | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.01 | 2.22 | (2.74) | 14.90 | |
| LTH | Life Time Group | 0.41 | 11 per month | 2.05 | (0.02) | 3.14 | (2.43) | 13.48 | |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness | 1.68 | 7 per month | 1.14 | 0.12 | 3.44 | (2.60) | 12.22 | |
| FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | 1.02 | 8 per month | 2.02 | (0.02) | 3.54 | (3.85) | 9.00 | |
| SIX | Six Flags Entertainment | 1.14 | 8 per month | 1.59 | 0.12 | 5.80 | (3.33) | 10.72 | |
| MAT | Mattel Inc | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.93 | (2.31) | 11.42 |
Callaway Golf Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Callaway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Callaway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Callaway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Callaway Golf Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Callaway Golf stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Callaway Golf, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Callaway Golf based on analysis of Callaway Golf hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Callaway Golf's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Callaway Golf's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 13.77 | 22.12 | 19.37 | 18.4 | PTB Ratio | 1.26 | 0.97 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
Story Coverage note for Callaway Golf
The number of cover stories for Callaway Golf depends on current market conditions and Callaway Golf's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Callaway Golf is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Callaway Golf's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Callaway Golf Short Properties
Callaway Golf's future price predictability will typically decrease when Callaway Golf's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Callaway Golf often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Callaway Golf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Callaway Golf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 201.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 394.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Callaway Stock analysis
When running Callaway Golf's price analysis, check to measure Callaway Golf's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Callaway Golf is operating at the current time. Most of Callaway Golf's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Callaway Golf's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Callaway Golf's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Callaway Golf to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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