Mp Materials Corp Stock Market Outlook
| MP Stock | USD 60.58 1.76 2.82% |
Slightly above 59% of MP Materials' investor base is looking to short. The current sentiment regarding investing in MP Materials Corp stock implies that many traders are alarmed. MP Materials' investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in MP Materials Corp. Many technical investors use MP Materials Corp stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.
Comfort Level 41
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use MP Materials' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward MP Materials Corp.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding MP Materials Corp is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell MP Materials Corp within the specified time frame.
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Execute MP Materials Advice
The MP Materials recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MP Materials Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MP Materials Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MP Materials' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon MP Materials Corp has a Mean Deviation of 3.98, Semi Deviation of 4.3, Standard Deviation of 4.97, Variance of 24.66, Downside Variance of 21.32 and Semi Variance of 18.45Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on MP Materials Corp that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on MP Materials. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure MP Materials Corp is not overpriced, please verify all MP Materials Corp fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, target price, and the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that MP Materials Corp has a number of shares shorted of 24.52 M, we recommend you to check MP Materials market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself this quarter and beyond given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.
MP Materials Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| MP Materials Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 203.85 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (65.42 M) with gross profit of 26.74 M. | |
| MP Materials Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MP Materials Deepens Ties To US Policy With DoD Stake And Offtake |
MP Materials Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of MP Materials' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MP Materials' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MP Materials daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MP Materials Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MP Materials returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for MP Materials.
| Mean Return | 0.35 | Value At Risk | -6.61 | Potential Upside | 8.81 | Standard Deviation | 4.97 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MP Materials historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
MP Materials Stock Institutional Investors
The MP Materials' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase MP Materials' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Walleye Trading Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2.4 M | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2.4 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 2.2 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2025-06-30 | 1.7 M | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-06-30 | 1.5 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 14.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 13.7 M |
MP Materials Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (8.2M) | (24.3M) | 2.3M | (41.5M) | (37.4M) | (35.5M) | |
| Change In Cash | 648.7M | (1.0B) | 121.5M | 18.6M | 16.8M | 27.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 687.6M | (5.8M) | (2.7M) | 316.4M | 363.8M | 382.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (21.9M) | 16.9M | (199.2M) | (173.1M) | (155.8M) | (148.0M) | |
| Depreciation | 24.4M | 18.4M | 56.6M | 78.1M | 89.8M | 94.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (63.5M) | (17.6M) | (19.7M) | (52.9M) | (47.6M) | (45.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 123.9M | 326.6M | 261.9M | 186.4M | 214.4M | 146.3M | |
| Net Income | 135.0M | 289.0M | 24.3M | (65.4M) | (75.2M) | (71.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.2B | 143.5M | 265.0M | 283.6M | 326.1M | 387.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | (3.4M) | 50.4M | (15.5M) | 26.4M | 30.4M | 31.9M | |
| Investments | (119.4M) | (1.4B) | 22.6M | 10.1M | 9.1M | 9.5M |
MP Materials Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MP Materials or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MP Materials' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MP Materials stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
MP Materials Volatility Alert
MP Materials Corp exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MP Materials' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MP Materials' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.MP Materials Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing MP Materials' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MP Materials' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MP Materials and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MP Materials or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MP Materials' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MP Materials by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare MP Materials to competition |
| Fundamentals | MP Materials | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0683 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.034 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.51) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (1.08) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.19 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 177.23 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 19.77 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 64.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 24.52 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 23.94 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.66 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 47.47 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 203.85 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 26.74 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 7.72 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (65.42 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 280.55 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 7.12 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 914.53 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.55 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 18.15 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.09 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 13.35 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.35 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.70) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.71 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 79.08 | |
| Number Of Employees | 804 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.56 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.05 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.33 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 320.3 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 867.3 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 14063 shares by Michael Rosenthal of MP Materials at 73.23 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
MP Materials Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MP Materials . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 314375.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.36) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 61.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 61.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.55) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.76) |
MP Materials Target Price Consensus
MP Materials target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. MP Materials' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 9 | Strong Buy |
Most MP Materials analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand MP Materials stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of MP Materials Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationMP Materials Target Price Projection
MP Materials' current and average target prices are 60.58 and 79.08, respectively. The current price of MP Materials is the price at which MP Materials Corp is currently trading. On the other hand, MP Materials' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
MP Materials Market Quote on 12th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On MP Materials Target Price
MP Materials Analyst Ratings
MP Materials' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about MP Materials stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of MP Materials' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. MP Materials' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About MP Materials Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell MP Materials Corp? Buying financial instruments such as MP Materials Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for MP Materials Stock Analysis
When running MP Materials' price analysis, check to measure MP Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MP Materials is operating at the current time. Most of MP Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MP Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MP Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MP Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.