Mp Materials Corp Stock Performance

MP Stock  USD 67.01  0.28  0.42%   
MP Materials has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.22, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MP Materials will likely underperform. MP Materials Corp today owns a risk of 4.84%. Please verify MP Materials Corp standard deviation, expected short fall, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if MP Materials Corp will be following its current price history.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MP Materials Corp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively uncertain basic indicators, MP Materials may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.42
Five Day Return
(3.55)
Year To Date Return
21.9
Ten Year Return
570.1
All Time Return
570.1
1
Will MP Materials Stock Have Room to Run in 2026
12/11/2025
2
MP Materials Valuation After Morgan Stanley Upgrade, Insider Selling, and Rising Institutional Interest
12/24/2025
3
Disposition of 272600 shares by James Litinsky of MP Materials at 64.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/08/2026
4
Financial Comparison MP Materials vs. Entree Gold
01/12/2026
5
MP Materials Stock Price Up 8.3 percent Heres What Happened
01/14/2026
6
Assessing MP Materials Valuation After US Defense Investment And Critical Minerals Stockpile Push
01/15/2026
7
Atlantic Strategic Minerals Weighs Rare Earths Plant in Virginia
01/21/2026
8
Disposition of 1198 shares by David Infuso of MP Materials at 68.37 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
9
Is MP Materials Still Attractive After 217 percent One Year Share Price Surge
01/23/2026
10
Trump Admin To Acquire Stake In USA Rare Earth For 1.6 Billion Report
01/26/2026
11
US Investment In Rival Puts MP Materials Valuation And Outlook In Focus
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow265 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities10.1 M

MP Materials Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,492  in MP Materials Corp on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  209.00  from holding MP Materials Corp or generate 3.22% return on investment over 90 days. MP Materials Corp is generating 0.1664% of daily returns and assumes 4.8431% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 43% of stocks are less risky than MP Materials on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 97% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon MP Materials is expected to generate 6.47 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.47 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

MP Materials Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MP Materials Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 67.01 90 days 67.01 
about 9.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MP Materials to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.59 (This MP Materials Corp probability density function shows the probability of MP Materials Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MP Materials will likely underperform. Additionally MP Materials Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MP Materials Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MP Materials

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MP Materials Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.1767.0171.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.5153.3573.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.0760.9165.75
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
71.9679.0887.78
Details

MP Materials Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MP Materials is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MP Materials' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MP Materials Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MP Materials within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0099
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
5.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.0009

MP Materials Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MP Materials for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MP Materials Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MP Materials Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company generated the yearly revenue of 203.85 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (65.42 M) with gross profit of 26.74 M.
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Analysts Set Alcoa Price Target at 48.83

MP Materials Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MP Materials Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MP Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MP Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding169.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments850.9 M

MP Materials Fundamentals Growth

MP Materials Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MP Materials, and MP Materials fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MP Materials Stock performance.

About MP Materials Performance

Assessing MP Materials' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into MP Materials' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the MP Materials is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 130.97  124.15 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.03)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.07)(0.07)

Things to note about MP Materials Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MP Materials for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MP Materials Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MP Materials Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company generated the yearly revenue of 203.85 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (65.42 M) with gross profit of 26.74 M.
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Analysts Set Alcoa Price Target at 48.83
Evaluating MP Materials' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MP Materials' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing MP Materials' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MP Materials' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MP Materials' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MP Materials' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MP Materials' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MP Materials' stock. These opinions can provide insight into MP Materials' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MP Materials' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MP Materials' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for MP Materials Stock Analysis

When running MP Materials' price analysis, check to measure MP Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MP Materials is operating at the current time. Most of MP Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MP Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MP Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MP Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.