Mp Materials Corp Stock Technical Analysis
| MP Stock | USD 60.58 1.76 2.82% |
As of the 12th of February 2026, MP Materials owns the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2597, standard deviation of 4.97, and Mean Deviation of 3.98. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check timely technical drivers of MP Materials Corp, as well as the relationship between them.
MP Materials Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as MP Materials, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MP MaterialsMP Materials | Build AI portfolio with MP Materials Stock |
MP Materials Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 79.08 | Strong Buy | 9 | Odds |
Most MP Materials analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand MP Materials stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of MP Materials Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to MP Materials conference calls.
Can Diversified Metals & Mining industry sustain growth momentum? Does MP Materials have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MP Materials. Expected growth trajectory for MP Materials significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating MP Materials demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | Earnings Share (0.70) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets |
The market value of MP Materials Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MP Materials that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MP Materials' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MP Materials' true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because MP Materials' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MP Materials' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MP Materials' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MP Materials represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, MP Materials' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
MP Materials 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MP Materials' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MP Materials.
| 11/14/2025 |
| 02/12/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MP Materials on November 14, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MP Materials Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in MP Materials over 90 days. MP Materials is related to or competes with Harmony Gold, Coeur Mining, Alcoa Corp, Equinox Gold, Albemarle Corp, James Hardie, and Suzano Papel. MP Materials Corp. owns and operates rare earth mining and processing facilities More
MP Materials Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MP Materials' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MP Materials Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.62 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0503 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.81 |
MP Materials Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MP Materials' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MP Materials' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MP Materials historical prices to predict the future MP Materials' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0648 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.215 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0541 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2497 |
MP Materials February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0648 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2597 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.3 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.62 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1405.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.97 | |||
| Variance | 24.66 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0503 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.215 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0541 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2497 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 21.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.20) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2637 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.30) |
MP Materials Corp Backtested Returns
Currently, MP Materials Corp is very steady. MP Materials Corp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0347, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0347 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for MP Materials, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify MP Materials' Mean Deviation of 3.98, market risk adjusted performance of 0.2597, and Standard Deviation of 4.97 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. MP Materials has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.38, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MP Materials will likely underperform. MP Materials Corp today owns a risk of 4.72%. Please verify MP Materials Corp maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall , to decide if MP Materials Corp will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | 0.20 |
Weak predictability
MP Materials Corp has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MP Materials time series from 14th of November 2025 to 29th of December 2025 and 29th of December 2025 to 12th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MP Materials Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current MP Materials price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 27.53 |
MP Materials technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
MP Materials Corp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for MP Materials Corp across different markets.
About MP Materials Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of MP Materials Corp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of MP Materials Corp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on MP Materials Corp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding MP Materials Corp. By analyzing MP Materials's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of MP Materials's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to MP Materials specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.3 | 11.49 | 10.34 | 10.85 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 234.07 | 145.53 | 130.97 | 124.15 |
MP Materials February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of MP Materials help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MP Materials from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze MP Materials charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0648 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2597 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.3 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.62 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1405.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.97 | |||
| Variance | 24.66 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0503 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.215 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0541 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2497 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 21.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.20) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2637 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.30) |
MP Materials February 12, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MP Materials stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 314,375 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.36) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 61.25 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 61.03 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.55) |
Additional Tools for MP Materials Stock Analysis
When running MP Materials' price analysis, check to measure MP Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MP Materials is operating at the current time. Most of MP Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MP Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MP Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MP Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.