Origin Energy Ltd Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| OGFGY Stock | USD 6.63 0.00 0.00% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Origin Energy Ltd is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Origin Energy Ltd given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Origin Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Origin Energy Ltd, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Origin Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Origin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Origin Energy Ltd. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Origin |
Execute Origin Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Origin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Origin Energy Ltd. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Origin Energy Ltd or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Origin Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Origin Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the revenue of 14.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.43 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B. |
Origin Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Origin Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Origin Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Origin Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Origin Energy Ltd price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Origin Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Origin Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.11 | Value At Risk | -2.95 | Potential Upside | 3.69 | Standard Deviation | 1.84 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Origin Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Origin Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Origin Energy or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Origin Energy's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Origin pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Origin Energy Volatility Alert
Origin Energy Ltd shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Origin Energy's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Origin Energy's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Origin Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Origin Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Origin Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Origin Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Origin Energy or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Origin Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Origin Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Origin Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Origin Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0151 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.1) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.4 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.72 B | 571.82 M |
| Price To Earning | 36.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.34 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.58 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 14.38 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.15 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (252 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (1.43 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.23 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.72 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.6 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.20 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.82 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 531 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.89) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 14.4 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.5 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.38 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 24.02 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 6.5 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 682 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 3.57 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 2.89 B | 7.9 B |
| Z Score | 1.8 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.39 % |
Origin Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Origin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Origin Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Origin Energy Ltd? Buying financial instruments such as Origin Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Origin Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Measuring and Control Equipment Thematic Idea Now
Measuring and Control Equipment
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Measuring and Control Equipment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Measuring and Control Equipment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Tools for Origin Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Origin Energy's price analysis, check to measure Origin Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.