Origin Energy Valuation

OGFGY Stock  USD 6.63  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. Origin Energy holds a recent Real Value of $6.53 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $6.63. Our model determines the value of Origin Energy from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.15, shares outstanding of 1.72 B, and Operating Margin of (0.04) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
6.63
Please note that Origin Energy's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Origin Energy is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Origin Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Origin Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Origin Pink Sheet. However, Origin Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  6.63 Real  6.53 Hype  6.63 Naive  6.67
The intrinsic value of Origin Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Origin Energy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
6.53
Real Value
7.80
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Origin Energy Ltd helps investors to forecast how Origin pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Origin Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Origin Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.636.636.63
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.366.637.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.406.677.94
Details

Origin Energy Total Value Analysis

Origin Energy Ltd is now forecasted to have takeover price of 10.4 B with market capitalization of 8.38 B, debt of 2.6 B, and cash on hands of 1.23 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Origin Energy fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
10.4 B
8.38 B
2.6 B
1.23 B

Origin Energy Investor Information

The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Origin Energy recorded a loss per share of 0.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of September 2022. The firm had 513:449 split on the 30th of September 2015. Based on the key measurements obtained from Origin Energy's financial statements, Origin Energy Ltd is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

Origin Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Origin Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 59.88 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.6 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Origin Energy Ltd is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Origin Energy Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 14.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.43 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B.

About Origin Energy Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Origin Energy. We calculate exposure to Origin Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Origin Energy's related companies.
Origin Energy Limited, an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration and production of natural gas, electricity generation, wholesale and retail sale of electricity and gas, and sale of liquefied natural gas in Australia and internationally. Origin Energy Limited was incorporated in 1946 and is based in Barangaroo, Australia. Origin Energy operates under Oil Gas Integrated classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 5000 people.

8 Steps to conduct Origin Energy's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Origin Energy's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Origin Energy's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Origin Energy's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Origin Energy's revenue streams: Identify Origin Energy's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Origin Energy's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Origin Energy's growth potential: Evaluate Origin Energy's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Origin Energy's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Origin Energy's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Origin Energy Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.979
Forward Price Earnings32.3625
Retained Earnings11 M

Additional Tools for Origin Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Origin Energy's price analysis, check to measure Origin Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.