Is Orchid Island Stock a Good Investment?
Orchid Island Investment Advice | ORC |
- Examine Orchid Island's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Orchid Island's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Orchid Island navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space and any emerging trends that could impact Orchid Island's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Orchid Island's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Orchid Island is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Orchid Island pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Orchid Island's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Orchid Island Capital stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Orchid Island Capital is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Examine Orchid Island Stock
Researching Orchid Island's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Orchid Island Capital last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The entity had 1:5 split on the 31st of August 2022.
To determine if Orchid Island is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Orchid Island's research are outlined below:
| Orchid Island generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orchid Island has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Orchid Island Capital has 3.71 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.51, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Orchid Island Capital has a current ratio of 0.12, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Orchid to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 154.93 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (39.23 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (243.88 M). | |
| Orchid Island has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 30th of October 2024 Orchid Island paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Quest Partners LLC Has 1.02 Million Holdings in Orchid Island Capital, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Orchid Island Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments |
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Orchid Island uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Orchid Island Capital. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Orchid Island's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 1st of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 25th of April 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 1st of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Orchid Island's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Orchid Island's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-07-25 | 2024-06-30 | -0.07 | -0.08 | -0.01 | 14 | ||
2024-10-24 | 2024-09-30 | -0.07 | -0.05 | 0.02 | 28 | ||
2024-04-25 | 2024-03-31 | -0.09 | -0.12 | -0.03 | 33 | ||
2023-10-26 | 2023-09-30 | -0.22 | -0.28 | -0.06 | 27 | ||
2013-05-01 | 2013-03-31 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 11 | ||
2022-08-04 | 2022-06-30 | 0.73 | 0.6 | -0.13 | 17 | ||
2021-02-25 | 2020-12-31 | 1.3 | 1.15 | -0.15 | 11 | ||
2019-04-25 | 2019-03-31 | 1.3 | 1.1 | -0.2 | 15 |
Know Orchid Island's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Orchid Island is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orchid Island Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Orchid Island's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Orchid Island's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 462.8 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 399 K | Truemark Investments Llc | 2024-06-30 | 383 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 249.9 K | Castleknight Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 199.7 K | Cetera Investment Advisers | 2024-06-30 | 183.7 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 171.2 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 169.5 K | Graham Capital Management | 2024-09-30 | 128 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 5.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.8 M |
Orchid Island's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 620.46 M.Market Cap |
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Orchid Island's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.08) | (0.09) |
Determining Orchid Island's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Orchid Island is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Orchid Island's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Orchid Island's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Orchid Island's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Orchid Island's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Orchid Island's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Orchid Island's management efficiency
Orchid Island Capital has Return on Asset of 0.0109 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0109 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1055 %, implying that it generated $0.1055 on every 100 dollars invested. Orchid Island's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Orchid Island manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 24, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.0097. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.06. At present, Orchid Island's Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.53 | 10.00 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 10.53 | 10.00 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (113.72) | (108.04) | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 0.80 | 0.76 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | (113.72) | (108.04) | |
| Price Fair Value | 0.80 | 0.76 | |
| Enterprise Value | 3.9 B | 4.1 B |
The strategic initiatives led by Orchid Island's management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Dividend Yield 0.1823 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.1823 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.44 | Beta 1.856 |
Basic technical analysis of Orchid Stock
As of the 24th of November, Orchid Island holds the Semi Deviation of 1.38, coefficient of variation of 4228.65, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0218. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Orchid Island, as well as the relationship between them.Orchid Island's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Orchid Island insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Orchid Island's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Orchid Island insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Orchid Island's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Orchid Island issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Orchid Island Capital uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Orchid bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Orchid Island Capital has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Boeing Co 2196 Corp BondUS097023DG73 | View | |
| HSBC Holdings PLC Corp BondUS404280DR76 | View | |
| MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View | |
| AerCap Global Aviation Corp BondUS00773HAA59 | View |
Understand Orchid Island's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Orchid Island's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0218 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.061 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8611 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4228.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.051 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.84) | |||
| Skewness | (1.30) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.1 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0218 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.061 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8611 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4228.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Variance | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.051 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.84) | |||
| Skewness | (1.30) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.1 |
Consider Orchid Island's intraday indicators
Orchid Island intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Orchid Island stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Orchid Island Corporate Filings
8K | 13th of November 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
13A | 12th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
F4 | 1st of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
10Q | 25th of October 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
Orchid Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Orchid Island that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Orchid media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Orchid internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Orchid data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Orchid Island news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Orchid Island relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Orchid Island's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Orchid Island alpha.
Orchid Island Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Orchid Island can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Orchid Island Corporate Directors
| Ava Parker | Independent Director | Profile | |
| William Bitting | Independent Director | Profile | |
| George Haas | Chief Financial Officer, Chief Investment Officer, Secretary, Director | Profile | |
| Paula Morabito | Independent Director | Profile |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Orchid Island Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orchid Island. If investors know Orchid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orchid Island listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.179 | Dividend Share 1.44 | Earnings Share 1.22 | Revenue Per Share 1.292 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.755 |
The market value of Orchid Island Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orchid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orchid Island's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orchid Island's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orchid Island's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orchid Island's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Orchid Island's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Orchid Island is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orchid Island's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.