Oak Valley Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| OVLY Stock | USD 25.75 0.39 1.49% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Oak Valley Bancorp is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Oak Valley Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Oak Valley Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Oak Valley Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Oak and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Oak Valley Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Oak |
Execute Oak Valley Buy or Sell Advice
The Oak recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Oak Valley Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Oak Valley Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Oak Valley's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Oak Valley Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Oak Valley Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oak Valley Bancorp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Hedge Fund and Insider Trading News Bill Ackman, Steve Cohen, Boaz Weinstein, Chris Rokos, Scott Bessent, Ken Griffin, Warren Buffett, Oak Valley Bancorp , Carmax Inc , and More |
Oak Valley Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Oak Valley's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Oak Valley's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Oak Valley daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Oak Valley Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Oak Valley returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Oak Valley.
| Mean Return | -0.06 | Value At Risk | -3.81 | Potential Upside | 3.75 | Standard Deviation | 2.32 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Oak Valley historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Oak Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Oak Valley, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oak Valley Bancorp back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Banc Funds Co Llc | 2024-09-30 | 43.8 K | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 38 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 30.6 K | Rbf Llc | 2024-09-30 | 30 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 27.7 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 21 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 20.9 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 19.6 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 19.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 469.2 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 384.5 K |
Oak Valley Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 79.1M | 551.6M | (348.6M) | (213.1M) | (191.8M) | (182.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 17.5M | 10.3M | 22.1M | 31.2M | 35.8M | 37.6M | |
| Depreciation | 1.2M | 1.3M | 1.2M | 1.3M | 1.5M | 1.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (728K) | (719K) | 193K | 1.1M | 1.2M | 1.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.3M | 2.4M | 2.5M | 2.6M | 3.0M | 3.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.7M | 978K | 1.2M | 1.9M | 2.2M | 1.6M | |
| Net Income | 13.7M | 16.3M | 22.9M | 30.8M | 35.5M | 37.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 226.7M | 778.3M | 429.6M | 216.6M | 249.1M | 151.1M | |
| Investments | (21.8M) | 103.7M | (376.7M) | (42.5M) | (38.2M) | (40.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 263K | 2.5M | (517K) | 165K | 189.8K | 206.5K |
Oak Valley Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Oak Valley or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Oak Valley's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Oak stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Oak Valley Volatility Alert
Oak Valley Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.69 and kurtosis of 3.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Oak Valley's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Oak Valley's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Oak Valley Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Oak Valley's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Oak Valley's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Oak Valley and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Oak Valley or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Oak Valley's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oak Valley by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Oak Valley to competition |
| Fundamentals | Oak Valley | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0134 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.32 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.46 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 67.89 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 8.36 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 18.03 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 32.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 27.98 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.38 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.16 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 80.67 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 67 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 41.4 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 30.85 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 499.9 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 61.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.68 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.46 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 20.78 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 33.06 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.74 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.01 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 222 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.31 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 243.07 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.84 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 154.3 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Five Year Return | 1.58 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.84 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.45 |
Note: Acquisition by Strong Gary of 1000 shares of Oak Valley at 27.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Oak Valley Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Oak . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Oak Valley Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Oak Valley Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Oak Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Oak Valley in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Construction Thematic Idea Now
Construction
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Construction theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Construction Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Oak Stock Analysis
When running Oak Valley's price analysis, check to measure Oak Valley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oak Valley is operating at the current time. Most of Oak Valley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oak Valley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oak Valley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oak Valley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.