Pennymac Mortgage Investment Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
PMT Stock | USD 13.43 0.09 0.67% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding PennyMac Mortgage Investment is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell PennyMac Mortgage Investment given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards PennyMac Mortgage. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for PennyMac Mortgage Investment, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out PennyMac Mortgage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PennyMac and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. PennyMac Mortgage Investment. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
PennyMac |
Execute PennyMac Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice
The PennyMac recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PennyMac Mortgage Investment. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PennyMac Mortgage Investment or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PennyMac Mortgage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
PennyMac Mortgage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
PennyMac Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
PennyMac Mortgage Investment has 10.47 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.24, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. PennyMac Mortgage has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for PennyMac to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
About 69.0% of PennyMac Mortgage shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 25th of October 2024 PennyMac Mortgage paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Shares Bought by Principal Financial Group Inc. - MarketBeat |
PennyMac Mortgage Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of PennyMac Mortgage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PennyMac Mortgage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PennyMac Mortgage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PennyMac Mortgage Investment price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PennyMac Mortgage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PennyMac Mortgage.
Mean Return | 0.02 | Value At Risk | -1.78 | Potential Upside | 1.44 | Standard Deviation | 0.91 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PennyMac Mortgage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
PennyMac Stock Institutional Investors
The PennyMac Mortgage's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase PennyMac Mortgage's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 792.4 K | Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 2024-06-30 | 668.2 K | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2024-06-30 | 622.1 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 582.3 K | Allianz Asset Management Ag | 2024-06-30 | 570.5 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 529.9 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 506.3 K | Dana Investment Advisors Inc | 2024-09-30 | 472.6 K | Wolverine Asset Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 461.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 14.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 9.7 M |
PennyMac Mortgage Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | 44.2M | (46.4M) | 1.3M | 52.9M | 169.2M | 177.7M | |
Free Cash Flow | (3.0B) | 671.7M | (2.8B) | 1.8B | 1.3B | 1.4B | |
Other Non Cash Items | (3.3B) | (3.8M) | (2.4B) | 1.8B | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
Capital Expenditures | 79K | 99.2M | 75.0M | 28.8M | 14.6M | 13.9M | |
Net Income | 226.4M | 52.4M | 56.9M | (73.3M) | 199.7M | 111.4M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 104.1M | 57.7M | 59.0M | 111.9M | 281.1M | 295.1M | |
Dividends Paid | 165.9M | 176.5M | 214.1M | 215.4M | 182.4M | 157.9M | |
Depreciation | 81.6M | 94.3M | 383.7M | 6.7M | 110K | 104.5K | |
Change To Netincome | (3.3B) | (20.5M) | (2.4B) | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.5B | |
Investments | (704.7M) | (15.4M) | (40.7M) | (1.9B) | (464.3M) | (487.5M) | |
Net Borrowings | 3.1B | (468.8M) | 1.8B | 453.9M | 522.0M | 636.9M |
PennyMac Mortgage Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PennyMac Mortgage or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PennyMac Mortgage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PennyMac stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
PennyMac Mortgage Volatility Alert
PennyMac Mortgage Investment has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.01, Maximum Drawdown of 4.64 and kurtosis of 0.67. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PennyMac Mortgage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PennyMac Mortgage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.PennyMac Mortgage Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing PennyMac Mortgage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PennyMac Mortgage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PennyMac Mortgage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PennyMac Mortgage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PennyMac Mortgage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PennyMac Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare PennyMac Mortgage to competition |
Fundamentals | PennyMac Mortgage | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.0861 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0127 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.21 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.1 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 12.09 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 86.86 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.00 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 69.00 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.48 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 56.52 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 0.84 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 1.45 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 725.87 M | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | (321.2 M) | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 1.28 B | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 199.65 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 349.38 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 3.86 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 10.47 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 5.24 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 0.86 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 16.06 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 1.34 B | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 6.39 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 1.38 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.12 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 14.81 | |
Number Of Employees | 7 | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.48 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 1.17 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 13.11 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | (508.69 M) | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | (3.78 B) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 5564 shares by David Spector of PennyMac Mortgage at 13.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
PennyMac Mortgage Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PennyMac . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About PennyMac Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell PennyMac Mortgage Investment? Buying financial instruments such as PennyMac Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for PennyMac Stock Analysis
When running PennyMac Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure PennyMac Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PennyMac Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of PennyMac Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PennyMac Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PennyMac Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PennyMac Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.