PennyMac Mortgage Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator

PMT Stock  USD 12.36  0.18  1.48%   
PennyMac Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of PennyMac Mortgage's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PennyMac Mortgage's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PennyMac Mortgage Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting PennyMac Mortgage's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.159
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4028
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.6208
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.6766
Wall Street Target Price
13.3571
Using PennyMac Mortgage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PennyMac Mortgage Investment from the perspective of PennyMac Mortgage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PennyMac Mortgage using PennyMac Mortgage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PennyMac using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PennyMac Mortgage's stock price.

PennyMac Mortgage Short Interest

An investor who is long PennyMac Mortgage may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PennyMac Mortgage and may potentially protect profits, hedge PennyMac Mortgage with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
12.5157
Short Percent
0.0645
Short Ratio
2.9
Shares Short Prior Month
4.3 M
50 Day MA
12.8328

PennyMac Relative Strength Index

PennyMac Mortgage Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to PennyMac Mortgage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PennyMac. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PennyMac can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PennyMac Mortgage Investment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PennyMac Mortgage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PennyMac Mortgage.

PennyMac Mortgage Implied Volatility

    
  1.13  
PennyMac Mortgage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PennyMac Mortgage Investment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PennyMac Mortgage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PennyMac Mortgage stock will not fluctuate a lot when PennyMac Mortgage's options are near their expiration.

PennyMac Mortgage after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PennyMac Mortgage to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PennyMac contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PennyMac Mortgage Investment will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0706% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With PennyMac Mortgage trading at USD 12.36, that is roughly USD 0.008729 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PennyMac Mortgage's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PennyMac Mortgage Investment options at the current volatility level of 1.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 PennyMac Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PennyMac Mortgage's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PennyMac Mortgage's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PennyMac Mortgage stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PennyMac Mortgage's open interest, investors have to compare it to PennyMac Mortgage's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PennyMac Mortgage is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PennyMac. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

PennyMac Mortgage Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PennyMac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PennyMac using various technical indicators. When you analyze PennyMac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
PennyMac Mortgage Investment has current Price Action Indicator of 0.09. Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check PennyMac Mortgage VolatilityBacktest PennyMac MortgageInformation Ratio  

PennyMac Mortgage Trading Date Momentum

On February 11 2026 PennyMac Mortgage Investment was traded for  12.36  at the closing time. Highest PennyMac Mortgage's price during the trading hours was 12.50  and the lowest price during the day was  12.22 . The net volume was 976.1 K. The overall trading history on the 11th of February 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 1.05% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare PennyMac Mortgage to competition

Other Forecasting Options for PennyMac Mortgage

For every potential investor in PennyMac, whether a beginner or expert, PennyMac Mortgage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PennyMac Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PennyMac. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PennyMac Mortgage's price trends.

PennyMac Mortgage Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PennyMac Mortgage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PennyMac Mortgage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PennyMac Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PennyMac Mortgage Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PennyMac Mortgage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PennyMac Mortgage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PennyMac Mortgage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PennyMac Mortgage Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PennyMac Mortgage Risk Indicators

The analysis of PennyMac Mortgage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PennyMac Mortgage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pennymac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for PennyMac Mortgage

The number of cover stories for PennyMac Mortgage depends on current market conditions and PennyMac Mortgage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PennyMac Mortgage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PennyMac Mortgage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

PennyMac Mortgage Short Properties

PennyMac Mortgage's future price predictability will typically decrease when PennyMac Mortgage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PennyMac Mortgage Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PennyMac Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PennyMac Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87 M
Cash And Short Term Investments462.5 M

Additional Tools for PennyMac Stock Analysis

When running PennyMac Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure PennyMac Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PennyMac Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of PennyMac Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PennyMac Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PennyMac Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PennyMac Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.